危机后的全球经济停滞

发布时间：2018-05-02 01:41

本文选题：长期停滞 + 宏观经济政策　；参考：《未来与发展》2016年11期

【摘要】：本文基于相关文献总结了危机后各国政策实施的现状,实践证明目前传统与非传统政策的实施都不十分有效。梳理了目前经济长期停滞的现状及成因,技术进步率下降,劳动人口比重下降、投资需求不足和收入分配差距过大的因素影响了经济的长期增长。许多文献表明当前的宏观经济理论与政策实践方面都需要做出改进。理论上,动态随机一般均衡模型中需要加入金融因素,以增强对现实宏观经济波动的解释力度。实践中,是否要将金融稳定纳入到货币政策目标中仍需讨论。
[Abstract]:Based on the relevant literature, this paper summarizes the current situation of policy implementation in various countries after the crisis, and practice shows that the implementation of traditional and non-traditional policies is not very effective. This paper reviews the current situation and causes of long-term economic stagnation, the decline of technological progress rate, the decline of the proportion of labor force, the shortage of investment demand and the excessive income distribution gap, which affect the long-term economic growth. Many documents show that the current macroeconomic theory and policy practice all need to be improved. In theory, financial factors should be added to the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to enhance the explanation of the real macroeconomic fluctuations. In practice, whether to integrate financial stability into monetary policy objectives remains to be discussed.
【作者单位】：南开大学经济学院;
【分类号】：F113

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