能源约束下的产业结构优化研究

发布时间：2018-05-03 11:30

本文选题：能源消费 + 能源约束　；参考：《南京财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,我国经济发展获得了巨大成就。然而伴随着经济发展所带来的是能源短缺和环境污染严重,能源短缺和环境污染已经成为制约我国经济社会继续发展前进的主要因素之一。如何在保证经济发展的同时降低能源消耗,减少环境污染一直是社会关注的焦点。产业结构作为经济发展和能源消费的中间纽带,学术界一直致力于通对产业结构的优化实现经济增长的同时,降低能耗,减少环境污染。当下我国正处于产业结构优化升级的关键时刻,因此,对能源约束下的产业结构优化方向的研究就显得至关重要。本文首先对能源约束下的产业结构相关理论进行探讨,主要是详细阐述了能源约束和产业结构的概念,并且分析能源约束对产业结构调整影响和产业结构调整对能源消费的影响。其次,在分析我国产业结构现状和能源消费现状的基础上,对二者的关系进行了实证研究。采用了时间序列方法,实证研究了能源约束对我国产业结构优化的影响。采取产业结构演进能源消费关联模型和通径分析方法,实证研究了改革开放以来我国的产业结构演进与能源消费之间的相关性和三次产业结构调整对我国能源消耗强度的影响路径。然后,考虑到工业是主要的能源消耗行业。因此,本文的核心是对工业内部结构进行优化。主要是将工业划分成24个部门,以低能耗和高产值为目标函数,以不增加环境污染、不减少就业等为约束条件建立投入产出目标线性规划模型,对工业内部结构进行优化。采用ling0软件进行模拟运算,通过对比优化后的产业结构和优化前的产业结构来为产业结构优化提供方向性指导。最后,在对以上研究的基础上得出一些主要结论,据此提出一些在能源约束下产业结构优化的相关政策建议。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economic development has made great achievements. However, along with the economic development, energy shortage and serious environmental pollution have become one of the main factors restricting the further development of our country's economy and society. How to reduce energy consumption and reduce environmental pollution while ensuring economic development has always been the focus of attention. As the middle link between economic development and energy consumption, the industry structure has been committed to optimize the industrial structure to achieve economic growth, reduce energy consumption and reduce environmental pollution. At present, our country is in the key moment of industrial structure optimization and upgrading. Therefore, it is very important to study the direction of industrial structure optimization under energy constraints. In this paper, the related theories of industrial structure under energy constraints are discussed, and the concepts of energy constraints and industrial structure are expounded in detail. The effects of energy constraints on industrial structure adjustment and industrial structure adjustment on energy consumption are also analyzed. Secondly, on the basis of analyzing the present situation of industrial structure and energy consumption in China, the relationship between them is studied empirically. Using time series method, this paper empirically studies the influence of energy constraints on industrial structure optimization in China. Adopting the energy consumption correlation model and path analysis method of industrial structure evolution, This paper empirically studies the correlation between industrial structure evolution and energy consumption in China since the reform and opening up and the influence of the third industrial structure adjustment on the energy consumption intensity in China. Then, consider that industry is the main energy consuming industry. Therefore, the core of this paper is to optimize the internal structure of industry. The paper mainly divides industry into 24 departments, taking low energy consumption and high output value as objective function, establishing input-output objective linear programming model with no increasing environmental pollution and reducing employment as constraint conditions, and optimizing the internal structure of industry. Ling0 software is used to simulate the optimization of industrial structure. By comparing the optimized industrial structure with the pre-optimized industrial structure, the directional guidance is provided for the optimization of industrial structure. Finally, on the basis of the above research, some main conclusions are drawn, and some policy suggestions on industrial structure optimization under energy constraints are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：南京财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F121.3;F206

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