经济增长中的全要素生产率研究——以山东省经验数据为例

发布时间：2018-05-05 13:09

  本文选题：全要素生产率 + 供给侧结构性改革　； 参考：《东岳论丛》2017年11期

【摘要】：基于索洛余值法计算的全要素生产率(TFP)显示,全要素生产率是经济增长的重要源泉,也是衡量经济增长质量的重要指标。推动供给侧结构性改革和新旧动能转换的本质是发展社会生产力,提高全要素生产率。我们以具有代表性的区域经验数据为例,期望得出具有一般意义的结论。1979-2014年,山东全要素生产率不仅年平均增速较低,而且对经济增长的年平均贡献也较小。尤其过去10多年,全要素生产率增速呈下降趋势,经济结构优化的效果并不明显,长期来看,如果不能扭转这一趋势,可能面临经济衰退的困境。这意味着在经济新常态下,全要素生产率是一个地区唯一可持续的增长动力。因此,着力推进以提高全要素生产率为核心内容的供给侧结构性改革尤为重要。深化体制性改革、推进技术创新和完善金融体系建设是提高全要素生产率、实现新旧动能转换的有效途径。
[Abstract]:Total factor productivity (TFP) calculated based on Solow residual value method shows that total factor productivity is an important source of economic growth and an important index to measure the quality of economic growth. The essence of promoting supply-side structural reform and transformation of new and old kinetic energy is to develop social productivity and improve total factor productivity. Taking the representative regional experience data as an example, we expect to draw a conclusion of general significance. From 1979 to 2014, the annual average growth rate of total factor productivity in Shandong Province is not only low, but also the annual average contribution to economic growth is relatively small. Especially in the past 10 years, the growth rate of total factor productivity (TFP) has been decreasing, and the effect of economic structure optimization is not obvious. In the long run, if this trend can not be reversed, it may face the dilemma of economic recession. This means that in the new normal economy, total factor productivity is the only sustainable growth engine in a region. Therefore, it is particularly important to push forward supply-side structural reform with the core content of improving total factor productivity (TFP). Deepening the system reform, promoting technological innovation and perfecting the financial system are the effective ways to improve the total factor productivity and realize the conversion of new and old kinetic energy.
【作者单位】： 青岛大学经济学院;上海熙德投资管理有限公司;
【分类号】：F127
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本文编号：1847809