长江三角洲人口与经济空间格局演变及影响因素

发布时间：2018-05-06 01:27

本文选题：人口 + 经济　；参考：《地理科学进展》2017年07期

【摘要】：人口与经济是反映区域差异的两大主要指标,其空间分布与区域差异的形成有密切关联。产业作为经济发展的基本载体,产业结构是影响人口与经济空间分布协调性的重要因素。在产业转移加快的背景下,长三角人口与经济空间分布格局也出现了一定的变化,对二者空间演变协调性研究具有重要的现实意义。本文运用重心、不一致指数及不均衡指数等方法,分析2000-2013年长三角人口与经济空间格局演变趋势及影响因素。结果表明,核心区经济增长有所放缓、边缘区经济增长加快,但人口向核心区集聚态势依然存在;基于不一致指数与不均衡指数的分析表明,与边缘区GDP快速增长导致区域GDP格局显著变化不同,边缘城市的人口增长并不显著且集中在部分城市;尽管人口与经济不一致指数分布格局呈现相对稳定的"核心—边缘"格局,但人口与经济增长不协调性增强推动了长三角人口与经济总体协调性的提高。本文尝试从市场、政府及人均GDP等因素对长三角人口与经济分布不协调的现象进行了解释。
[Abstract]:Population and economy are two main indicators reflecting regional differences, and their spatial distribution is closely related to the formation of regional differences. Industry as the basic carrier of economic development, industrial structure is an important factor affecting the coordination of population and economic spatial distribution. Under the background of accelerated industrial transfer, the spatial distribution pattern of population and economy in the Yangtze River Delta has also changed to a certain extent, which is of great practical significance to the study of the coordination of the spatial evolution of the two. Based on the methods of center of gravity, inconsistent index and unbalanced index, this paper analyzes the evolution trend and influencing factors of population and economic spatial pattern in Yangtze River Delta from 2000 to 2013. The results show that the economic growth in the core area has slowed down, the economic growth in the marginal area has been accelerated, but the situation of population agglomeration to the core area still exists, and the analysis based on the inconsistent index and the unbalanced index shows that, Different from the rapid growth of GDP in the marginal areas, the regional GDP pattern is significantly changed. The population growth of the marginal cities is not significant and concentrated in some cities. Although the distribution pattern of population and economic inconsistency index presents a relatively stable "core-edge" pattern, but the population and economic growth is not coordinated to enhance the overall coordination of population and economy in the Yangtze River Delta. This paper attempts to explain the disharmony between population and economy in the Yangtze River Delta from the factors of market, government and per capita GDP.
【作者单位】：南京大学经济学院;中国科学院流域地理学重点实验室中国科学院南京地理与湖泊研究所;中国科学院大学;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金重点项目(41130750)~~
【分类号】：C924.2;F127

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