“三驾马车”对广西经济重心空间迁移的拉动分析

发布时间：2018-05-06 08:47

本文选题：三驾马车 + 经济重心　；参考：《地域研究与开发》2017年04期

【摘要】：以往对"三驾马车"认知停留在其对经济增长的增量影响,缺乏空间方向概念。由此,以经济重心作为衡量经济空间结构的指标,并以广西为例,从拉动经济增长的消费、投资和出口"三驾马车"视角出发,通过重心和灰色关联度模型,对比分析"三驾马车"重心与经济重心的演化路径,进一步揭示三大拉力对经济重心空间迁移的影响。结果表明:2004—2014年广西经济重心迁移路径呈"S"型,2010,2013年分别为重心空间转向的拐点;在空间位置方面,与经济重心邻近程度由高至低依次是消费重心、投资重心和出口重心;在迁移路径方面,消费重心的移动距离最小且变动较为稳定;出口重心的移动距离最大,整体上呈往西南方向迁移态势;投资重心与经济重心的迁移路径在2009年以后的走势较为一致。在拉力作用方面,"三驾马车"对经济重心在不同阶段及不同方向上的影响强弱不一,整体而言是投资大于消费大于出口。
[Abstract]:In the past, the cognition of "troika" stayed on its incremental influence on economic growth and lacked the concept of spatial direction. Thus, taking the economic center of gravity as the index to measure the economic spatial structure, and taking Guangxi as an example, from the perspective of the "troika" of consumption, investment and export to pull the economic growth, the model of gravity center and grey correlation degree is adopted. By comparing and analyzing the evolution path between the center of gravity of the troika and the center of economic gravity, the influence of the three pulling forces on the spatial migration of the economic center of gravity is further revealed. The results show that the migration path of Guangxi economic center of gravity from 2004 to 2014 is "S" type 2010, 2013 is the turning point of center of gravity space, and in spatial position, the center of economic gravity is the center of consumption, the center of investment and the center of gravity of export, and the degree of proximity to the center of economic gravity is in turn from high to low. In the aspect of migration path, the moving distance of the consumption center of gravity is the smallest and the change is more stable, the moving distance of the outlet center of gravity is the largest, and the whole moving trend is to the southwest. Investment center of gravity and economic center of gravity migration path after 2009 the trend is more consistent. In terms of pulling force, the influence of "troika" on the economic center of gravity varies in different stages and in different directions. On the whole, investment is greater than consumption than export.
【作者单位】：重庆理工大学经济金融学院;广西大学商学院;广西大学中国-东盟研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41161024;41561026)
【分类号】：F127

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