新疆县域经济的增长模式

发布时间：2018-05-09 04:26

本文选题：Moran’s + I指数　；参考：《经济地理》2016年03期

【摘要】：在新古典理论模型假设的基础上梳理了空间外溢及空间俱乐部趋同的理论,选取1998—2013年研究时段,通过全局Moran's I指数、LISA散点图和σ趋同指数测度区域空间格局,结合空间计量模型(SLM、SEM、SDM)探析空间外溢效应外溢路径,提出新疆空间增长模式并给予实践佐证。结果表明:第一,新疆县域经济发展存在空间溢出效应,组内差异缩小和组间差距拉大并存,经济极化增长与人均收入差异拉大并存;第二,空间溢出效应可以部分解释新疆人均收入差异;第三,新疆县域经济发展出现趋同俱乐部;第四,新疆空间外溢效应的溢出路径主要经历了"增长率驱动—政策冲击—多元化驱动",冀以提出全疆"空间集聚、向心发展"的有重点、多片区、全局化的多层次"核心—外围"模式构想。
[Abstract]:Based on the hypothesis of neoclassical theory model, this paper combs the theory of spatial spillover and spatial club convergence, selects the period of 1998-2013, measures the regional spatial pattern through global Moran's I index Lisa scattered plot and 蟽 convergence index. Based on the spatial metrological model, the spatial spillover path is analyzed, and the spatial growth model of Xinjiang is put forward and proved by practice. The results show that: first, there are spatial spillover effects in the development of county economy in Xinjiang, the intra-group difference and the inter-group gap co-exist, the economic polarization growth and the per capita income difference increase co-exist; second, Spatial spillover effect can partly explain the difference of income per capita in Xinjiang; third, the development of county economy in Xinjiang appears convergence club; fourth, The spill-over path of spatial spillover effect in Xinjiang has mainly experienced "growth-driven, policy impact-diversification drive", in order to put forward the "spatial agglomeration, concentric development" of the whole Xinjiang, there are many regions. The concept of multi-level "core-periphery" mode of globalization.
【作者单位】：新疆财经大学经济学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金西部项目(13XGJ011) 新疆维吾尔自治区研究生教育创新计划科研创新项目(XJGRI2015125) 新疆财经大学研究生科研创新项目(XJUFE2015K001)
【分类号】：F127

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