广东省民间投资与FDI挤出关系的实证研究

发布时间：2018-05-12 13:52

本文选题：外商直接投资 + 民间投资　；参考：《广东外语外贸大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放30多年来，广东省是全国众多省份中最早实行对外开放的地区，吸引了大量的外商直接投资的流入，成为了全中国外资最活跃的地方。外商直接投资在广东省快速增长，给广东带来了大量财富的同时也促使了广东省外向型经济的形成。同期，民间企业在外资企业的带动下，弥补了资金缺口，取得了技术进步，民间投资迅速发展。民间投资作为我国改革开放和建立社会主义市场经济的产物，对经济增长的作用日益明显。然而，FDI与民间投资毕竟是两种不同类型的资本，而且两者都有趋利的本性。他们之间到底存在怎样的关系值得我们深究。为了解决这个问题，本文在Agosin和Mayer模型的基础上，利用广东省1979——2012年的数据，实证研究了FDI与民间投资的挤入挤出效应。结论发现，FDI对广东省的民间投资存在挤出效应。本文首先阐述了选题的背景和意义，以及国内外对民间投资研究现状的文献综述，并且介绍了本文的研究思路和方法。其次从理论部分入手，梳理了FDI与民间投资的相关理论，以及FDI对民间投资的影响机制。接着具体描述FDI与民间投资在广东省的发展历程与现状，并对两者的关系做出直观的预期假设。接着，，在这基础上利用计量模型对两者的关系进行实证分析，并且研究两者对广东省经济增长的量化效果。最后，主要是针对如何弱化FDI对民间投资的挤出以及如何促进民间投资的发展提出政策建议。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up more than 30 years ago, Guangdong Province has been the first to open to the outside world in many provinces of China, attracting a large number of foreign direct investment inflows and becoming the most active place for foreign investment in the whole country. The rapid growth of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Guangdong has brought a great deal of wealth to Guangdong, and has also promoted the formation of Guangdong's export-oriented economy. In the same period, private enterprises, led by foreign-funded enterprises, have made up for the capital gap, made progress in technology, and private investment has developed rapidly. As the product of reform and opening up and the establishment of socialist market economy, folk investment plays an increasingly important role in economic growth. However, FDI and private investment are two different types of capital, and both have the nature of profit. What kind of relationship exists between them is worth our deep study. In order to solve this problem, based on the Agosin and Mayer models, using the data of Guangdong Province from 1979 to 2012, this paper empirically studies the crowding out effect between FDI and private investment. Conclusion it is found that FDI has an crowding out effect on private investment in Guangdong Province. In this paper, the background and significance of the topic, as well as the current situation of research on private investment at home and abroad literature review, and introduced the research ideas and methods of this paper. Secondly, the theory of FDI and private investment, and the influence mechanism of FDI on private investment are analyzed. Then it describes the development process and current situation of FDI and private investment in Guangdong Province, and makes an intuitive assumption of the relationship between them. On the basis of this, we use the econometric model to analyze the relationship between the two, and study the quantitative effect of the two on the economic growth of Guangdong Province. Finally, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to weaken the extrusion of private investment by FDI and how to promote the development of private investment.
【学位授予单位】：广东外语外贸大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F832.6

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