四川生态全要素生产率研究

发布时间：2018-05-15 10:53

本文选题：生态全要素生产率 + 索洛余值法　；参考：《四川农业大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着雾霾天气的不断增多,中国经济迅速增长的同时,生态环境问题日益突出。为了研究扣除环境污染后的经济增长状况,以及探讨生态文明建设的决定因素,和进一步寻找节能减排和低碳环保政策的依据,本文构建了一个扣除生态环境污染因素的绿色全要素生产率——生态全要素生产率——的测算框架。该测算框架包括四川生态全要素生产率的增长模型和分解模型两个部分,前者使用了索罗余值法,后者使用了方差贡献法。基于上述测算框架,本文利用收集的宏观数据对四川生态全要素生产率的增长进行了测算,利用时间序列对四川生态全要素生产率进行了时间纵向分解,利用区域数据对四川生态全要素生产率进行了区域横向分解,研究结果表明：(1)四川环境发展的库兹涅茨曲线直逼倒“U”形顶点。四川经济增长经历了“先污染”和“后治理”两个阶段,四川生态全要素生产率的增长转负为正的临界点出现在2009年。该临界点以前,四川生态全要素生产率为负增长,以牺牲生态环境为代价换取了高于5.70%的总产出份额,争取了年均0.15%的产出增长率,经济发展模式较为粗放,生产过程中超限排放的污染逐年积累,可持续发展程度较低。2009年以后,四川生态全要素生产率变为正增长,且增长速度有继续增大的势头,由于生产过程中清洁能源和高效技术的大量采用,用于修复生态环境的总产出平均每年以46.09%的速度逐年增长,四川的经济发展模式逐渐变得更集约,可持续发展程度逐渐回升。(2)四川二元经济结构中生态全要素生产率差异较大。四川非农业经济部门的生态全要素生产率与农业部门相差近10倍,非农业经济部门使用的能源更清洁,采用的技术更有效。分析表明人力效率是拉开差距的主要原因,其次分别是资本效率和单位资本的生态环境消耗。(3)生态全要素生产率的增长导致四川经济的增长速度于2010年开始放缓。从1993年开始,一直到2010年,虽然中间一度出现了1995年和2009年的两个小型波动,但是总体上的总产出增长率呈现出逐年变大的趋势,并于2010年达到顶峰。从2010年开始,由于四川生态全要素生产率加速上扬,导致总产出增长率逐年急剧变小,并于2013年回落到2001年前的8%以内。(4)四川生态全要素生产率的生产活动投入要素结构有待进一步优化。目前,四川总产出有5%的份额仍然以牺牲生态环境为代价,因此投入要素结构有继续优化的空间,继续提升人力资本与实体资本对总产出的贡献份额,引进零排放的工艺,提倡零污染的活动,将生态环境的消耗降至最低,以达到生产和消费双重生态有效的目的。在分析的基础上,本文提出了有关提升四川生态全要素生产率的建议：四川应继续实施节能减排政策,应继续扩大服务行业比重,应协调发展绿色生态经济,应具体部署低碳环保工作,应提高农村人力资源效率,应提高国际合作交流强度。
[Abstract]:With the increase of haze weather and the rapid growth of China's economy, the ecological environment is becoming more and more serious. In order to study the economic growth after deducting the environmental pollution, and to explore the determinants of the construction of ecological civilization, and to find the basis of the policy of energy saving and low carbon environmental protection, this paper constructs a deduction of the ecological ring. The calculation framework of green total factor productivity - ecological total factor productivity - two parts of Sichuan ecological total factor productivity growth model and decomposition model, the former uses the solo residual method and the latter uses the variance contribution method. Based on the above calculation framework, the collected macros are used in this paper. The view data calculated the growth of ecological total factor productivity in Sichuan. The time series was used to decompose the ecological total factor productivity of Sichuan, and the regional data was used to decompose the ecological total factor productivity of Sichuan. The results showed that: (1) the Kuznets curve of the environmental development of Sichuan was directly forced down. The economic growth of Sichuan has experienced two stages: "first pollution" and "post governance". The growth of Sichuan ecological total factor productivity (TFP) and the positive critical point appeared in 2009. Before this critical point, the ecological total factor productivity of Sichuan was negative growth, and the total output of higher than 5.70% at the expense of the ecological environment was changed. In addition, the annual average output growth rate is 0.15%, the model of economic development is more extensive and the pollution of excess emission in the production process is accumulated year by year. After the low level of sustainable development, the ecological total factor productivity of Sichuan has become positive growth, and the growth rate has continued to increase, because of clean energy and efficient technology in the production process. The total output of the ecological environment is increased by 46.09% per year, the economic development model of Sichuan has gradually become more intensive and the degree of sustainable development gradually rebounded. (2) the ecological total factor productivity of the two yuan economic structure of Sichuan is different. The ecological total factor productivity of the non agricultural economic sector in Sichuan The difference between the agricultural sector and the agricultural sector is nearly 10 times, the energy used by the non agricultural sector is cleaner and the technology used is more effective. The analysis shows that the human efficiency is the main reason for the opening of the gap, followed by the ecological environment consumption of capital efficiency and unit capital respectively. (3) the growth of the ecological total factor production rate leads to the growth rate of Sichuan economy in 2010. Beginning to slow down. From 1993 to 2010, although there were two small fluctuations in 1995 and 2009, the overall growth rate of total output showed a tendency to increase year by year and peak in 2010. Since 2010, Sichuan's ecological total factor productivity accelerated, leading to total output growth rate. The year drastically reduced to less than 8% in 2013. (4) the input factor structure of the production activities of Sichuan ecological total factor productivity needs to be further optimized. At present, the total output of Sichuan is still at the expense of the ecological environment at the expense of the total output of 5%, so the input factor structure has the space to continue to optimize and continue to improve the human capital and the human capital. The contribution of substantive capital to the total output, the introduction of zero emission technology, the promotion of zero pollution activities and the minimized consumption of the ecological environment to achieve the dual ecological and effective purpose of production and consumption. On the basis of the analysis, this paper puts forward some suggestions on improving the total factor productivity of Sichuan's ecology: Sichuan should continue to implement energy conservation. The policy of reducing emission should continue to expand the proportion of service industries. We should coordinate the development of green ecological economy. We should specifically deploy low carbon environmental protection work. We should improve the efficiency of rural human resources and increase the intensity of international cooperation and exchange.

【学位授予单位】：四川农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;X321

【相似文献】