城镇化进程中碳锁定的诱发机制与解锁路径研究

发布时间：2018-05-16 10:28

本文选题：城镇化 + 碳排放　；参考：《财经问题研究》2017年03期

【摘要】：全国大范围城市频繁持续遭遇雾霾天气日益引发社会对碳锁定的广泛关注,识别碳锁定风险并提出有效的碳解锁路径,对于提升城镇化质量具有重要的现实意义。本文在分析碳锁定诱发机制的基础上,首先对2003—2014年中国30个省会城市和直辖市碳锁定的风险进行量化,其次运用考虑非期望产出的DEA-SBM模型和Bootstrap-DEA方法纠偏测算碳排放约束下城市投入产出综合效率,最后采取动态面板系统广义矩估计方法对城市碳锁定风险的影响因素进行研究。研究结果表明,城市投入产出综合效率与经济发达程度正相关,且有效化解了碳锁定风险,市场化改革降低碳锁定风险的贡献小于生产技术进步,人口密度和第二产业比重对碳锁定风险无显著影响,城镇化率显著加剧了碳锁定风险。提高城市投入产出综合效率、深化生产要素配置的市场化改革和保持合理的城镇化速度,均有利于实现城镇化的低碳解锁。
[Abstract]:The frequent and continuous exposure to haze weather in large cities in China has caused widespread attention to carbon locking. It is of great practical significance to identify the risk of carbon locking and propose effective carbon-unlocking paths for improving the quality of urbanization. Based on the analysis of the mechanism of carbon locking, this paper first quantifies the risk of carbon locking in 30 provincial capitals and municipalities in China from 2003 to 2014. Secondly, the comprehensive efficiency of urban input-output under the constraint of carbon emissions is measured by using DEA-SBM model and Bootstrap-DEA method. Finally, the influence factors of urban carbon locking risk are studied by using the generalized moment estimation method of dynamic panel system. The results show that the comprehensive efficiency of urban input-output is positively related to the degree of economic development, and effectively reduces the risk of carbon locking, and the contribution of market-oriented reform to reduce the risk of carbon locking is less than that of the progress of production technology. The density of population and the proportion of secondary industry have no significant influence on the risk of carbon sequestration, and the urbanization rate has significantly aggravated the risk of carbon locking. Improving the comprehensive efficiency of urban input-output, deepening the market-oriented reform of the allocation of production factors and maintaining a reasonable speed of urbanization are all conducive to the realization of low-carbon unlocking of urbanization.
【作者单位】：东北财经大学产业组织与企业组织研究中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金青年项目“城镇化进程中‘碳锁定’的形成机理、风险测度与解锁策略研究”(71403041) 教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目“规制改革对碳减排的影响机理与实证:基于企业异质性投资行为的分析”(14YJC790068) 辽宁省社会科学规划基金青年项目“辽宁清洁能源发展机制的低碳效应评价与政策研究”(L16CJY003)
【分类号】：X321;F124.5

【相似文献】