人口聚集、经济扩散及其不一致状况——来自长江三角洲的经验研究

发布时间：2018-05-21 19:16

本文选题：人口 + 经济　；参考：《经济地理》2017年09期

【摘要】：在区域发展环境变化及发展格局转变情况下,文章引入地理集中度、不一致指数及不均衡指数等方法,对比分析2000—2015年长江三角洲人口、经济地理集中度及人口与经济不一致指数的时空格局演变趋势,并基于面板数据回归对人口与经济不一致指数的影响因素进行实证研究。结果表明,在经济分布向边缘区扩散的格局下,人口分布总体呈现向核心区集聚的态势,由此带来的人口与经济不一致指数变化主要表现为核心区的上升与边缘区的下降,且人口与经济空间布局的协调性有所提高。对不一致指数影响因素的定量分析表明,市场力量、政府政策及城市发展状况等都对人口与经济分布不一致性产生重要的影响。
[Abstract]:Under the circumstance of the change of regional development environment and the change of development pattern, this paper introduces the methods of geographical concentration, inconsistent index and unbalanced index to compare and analyze the population of the Yangtze River Delta from 2000 to 2015. The trend of spatial and temporal pattern evolution of economic geographical concentration and population and economic inconsistency index is analyzed. Based on panel data regression, the influencing factors of population and economic inconsistency index are studied empirically. The results show that, under the pattern of diffusion of economic distribution to marginal area, population distribution generally presents a trend of agglomeration to core area, and the change of population and economic inconsistency index is mainly manifested by the rise of core area and the decrease of marginal area. And the coordination of population and economic spatial distribution has improved. The quantitative analysis of the influencing factors of inconsistent index shows that market forces, government policies and urban development all have important effects on the inconsistency of population and economic distribution.
【作者单位】：南京大学经济学院;湖南师范大学资源与环境科学学院;中国科学院流域地理学重点实验室/南京地理与湖泊研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金重点项目(41130750)
【分类号】：C924.2;F127

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