吉林省经济增长与环境污染治理互动关系研究

发布时间：2018-05-30 23:03

本文选题：吉林省 + 经济增长　；参考：《吉林大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着经济发展速度的快速发展,环境污染问题日益严重,逐渐受到政府重视。尤其是党的十八大召开以来,生态文明建设被纳入“五位一体”的中国特色社会主义事业总体布局,生态文明建设上升为国家战略,且2016年3月出台的《十三五规划纲要》中指出要深入实施污染防治行动,并针对污染制定计划与目标。吉林省作为典型东北老工业基地之一,随着经济不断增长,环境压力越来越大,研究在东北老工业基地转型期间,吉林省经济增长与环境污染治理治理之间的互动关系十分必要。本文运用系统动力学模型,分析吉林省经济增长与环境污染治理治理之间的互动关系,将影响吉林省经济增长与环境污染治理二者关系的各方面因素纳入模型中,所涉及到的因素包括经济因素、社会因素、技术因素等,并对各个因素建立方程,利用vensim软件进行仿真模拟,研究主要指标之间的正负影响关系,从而对吉林省经济增长与环境污染治理互动发展提出建议。研究结果表明,GDP增长量为代表的经济因素对环境污染治理有正向促进效应;产业结构因素中,增加第一产业、第三产业占比对环境污染治理状况改善作用明显,而第二产业占比则为不显著因素;城镇化率为代表的社会因素以及以单位GDP能耗为代表的技术因素对吉林省环境污染治理状况的改善具有显著的正效应;环境污染方面,环境污染治理投资对GDP影响为正,其随着时间推移对GDP增长的作用更加明显,但环境污染指数对GDP增长并无明显促进作用,可见以资源环境为代价的经济增长并不能持久。最后,根据模型结果,针对性提出促进吉林省经济增长与环境污染治理互动发展的政策建议:提高环境污染治理投资,加大环境污染治理力度;优化产业结构;加强技术支持,推进环境污染治理技术进步;加快新型城镇化建设,注重可持续发展;加强生态环境建设,创新环境污染治理模式等。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of economy, environmental pollution is becoming more and more serious. In particular, since the 18th National Congress of the Party, the construction of ecological civilization has been incorporated into the overall layout of the "five-in-one" cause of socialism with Chinese characteristics, and the construction of ecological civilization has become a national strategy. Moreover, the outline of the 13th Five-Year Plan issued in March 2016 points out the need to carry out the action of pollution prevention and control in depth, and to formulate plans and targets for pollution. As one of the typical old industrial bases in Northeast China, Jilin Province is under increasing environmental pressure as the economy continues to grow. During the transition period of the old industrial base in Northeast China, The interactive relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution control in Jilin Province is very necessary. In this paper, the system dynamics model is used to analyze the interactive relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution control in Jilin Province, and the factors affecting the relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution control in Jilin Province are brought into the model. The factors involved include economic factors, social factors, technical factors and so on. The equations of each factor are established, and the positive and negative relationships between the main indexes are studied by using vensim software. In order to Jilin Province economic growth and environmental pollution control interactive development put forward suggestions. The results show that the economic factors, represented by GDP growth, have a positive effect on environmental pollution control, and that the increase of primary industry and the proportion of tertiary industry in industrial structure have obvious effects on the improvement of environmental pollution treatment. The social factors represented by urbanization rate and the technical factors represented by unit GDP energy consumption have significant positive effects on the improvement of environmental pollution in Jilin Province. The effect of environmental pollution control investment on GDP is positive, and the effect on GDP growth is more obvious with time, but the environmental pollution index has no obvious promoting effect on GDP growth, so the economic growth at the cost of resources and environment can not be sustained. Finally, according to the results of the model, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions to promote the interactive development of economic growth and environmental pollution control in Jilin Province: to increase the investment in environmental pollution control, to increase the intensity of environmental pollution control, to optimize the industrial structure, and to strengthen technical support. Promote the progress of environmental pollution control technology, accelerate the construction of new urbanization, pay attention to sustainable development, strengthen the construction of ecological environment, innovate the mode of environmental pollution treatment, etc.
【学位授予单位】：吉林大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：X22;F127

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