基于经济、社会、环境的广东综合发展指标的构建和实证研究

发布时间：2018-05-31 13:42

本文选题：综合发展指标 + 索罗经济增长模型　；参考：《华南理工大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：2014年，不唯GDP论英雄由全国两会提出并逐渐深入人心，科学考量地区综合发展具有越来越重要的意义。本文基于经济、社会、环境三个子系统构建综合发展指标。该构建方法可以推广至全国及各省。本文以广东省为例，构建了广东由经济、社会、环境子系统构成的综合发展指标。本文分为以下几个章节。第一章为绪论，主要介绍国内外在研究和评价地区发展较常用的指标和方法，本文对这些指标和方法进行了评价，并创新地提出了本文的综合发展的指标构建方法，并将在接下来的章节中以广东省为例进行实证研究，通过该指标体系对广东省的经济、社会、环境发展进行了分系统和综合的评估。第二章为广东省的经济发展评价。由于本文综合发展经济系统直接采用GDP的标准化值进行评价，所以这部分不需要进行主成分分析。这部分本文采用较成熟和权威性较强的索罗经济增长模型，对广东省的经济增长进行了实证分析，通过测算索罗模型的回归系数和各要素对经济增长的贡献率，得出广东经济增长主要靠投资拉动，科技水平有所提高但对经济增长贡献率较低、教育对经济增长的作用举足轻重等结论。第三章为广东省的社会和环境系统指标的构建。本文通过收集与社会和环境密切相关的数据，分别用主成分的分析方法，得出社会和环境系统指标的构建公式。并对经济、社会、环境系统进行加权得出广东省的综合发展指标构建公式，并对公式构建体现的原则和依据作了详细的说明。后面两章主要研究的是综合发展指标的应用。第四章，将该综合发展评价公式，应用于计算和评价广东省历年综合发展情况。第五章，将该综合发展评价公式，应用于各市综合发展评价。把各市近年来的原始数据作标准化处理后，代入综合发展公式，进行评价。与原来单纯的靠GDP增长的排名的差距比较，，看出各类城市的不足和优势，提出差异化的策略。
[Abstract]:In 2014, the hero of GDP theory was put forward by the two national conferences and gradually accepted by the people, so it is more and more important to consider the comprehensive development of the region scientifically. Based on the three subsystems of economy, society and environment, this paper constructs the comprehensive development index. The method can be extended to the whole country and provinces. Taking Guangdong province as an example, this paper constructs a comprehensive development index of Guangdong province, which is composed of economic, social and environmental subsystems. This article is divided into the following chapters. The first chapter is the introduction, which mainly introduces the commonly used indexes and methods in the research and evaluation area, and this paper evaluates these indexes and methods, and puts forward the method of constructing the comprehensive development index. In the following chapter, we will take Guangdong Province as an example to carry on the empirical research, through this index system has carried on the sub-system and the synthesis appraisal to the Guangdong Province economy, the society, the environment development. The second chapter is the economic development evaluation of Guangdong Province. Since the standard value of GDP is directly used to evaluate the comprehensive development economic system, there is no need for principal component analysis in this part. This part of this article adopts the more mature and authoritative Soro economic growth model, carries on the empirical analysis to the economic growth of Guangdong Province, by calculating the regression coefficient of the Soro model and the contribution rate of each factor to the economic growth. It is concluded that Guangdong's economic growth mainly depends on investment, the level of science and technology is improved, but the contribution rate to economic growth is low, and education plays an important role in economic growth. The third chapter is the construction of social and environmental system indicators in Guangdong Province. By collecting the data which are closely related to society and environment and using the principal component analysis method, the formulas for constructing social and environmental system indexes are obtained in this paper. The formula for constructing comprehensive development index of Guangdong Province is obtained by weighted economic, social and environmental systems, and the principle and basis of formula construction are explained in detail. The last two chapters mainly study the application of comprehensive development index. In the fourth chapter, the comprehensive development evaluation formula is applied to calculate and evaluate the comprehensive development of Guangdong Province. In the fifth chapter, the comprehensive development evaluation formula is applied to the comprehensive development evaluation of various cities. After standardizing the original data of each city in recent years, the comprehensive development formula is put in and evaluated. Compared with the original rank of GDP growth, we can see the shortcomings and advantages of all kinds of cities, and put forward the strategy of differentiation.
【学位授予单位】：华南理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;D67;X2

【参考文献】