辽宁省人力资本水平对产业结构升级的影响研究

发布时间：2018-06-01 06:52

本文选题：人力资本水平 + 产业结构升级　；参考：《辽宁大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来,在我国经济发展进入良好势头的大背景下,辽宁的经济和社会发展环境也在经历着深远改变。人口红利的优势明显减弱,劳动力成本持续上涨,加快产业结构升级、促进经济创新性发展才是明智的选择。辽宁省的产业结构升级迟缓,这大大约束了老工业基地的重振,人力资本水平的提高是促进产业结构升级的核心要素,更是促进经济健康发展的动力。只有确保人力资本水平与产业结构协调发展,才能实现产业结构的优化升级,加速经济增长;当二者的发展不协调时,就会影响产业结构和经济的发展。本文以产业结构和人力资本的相关的理论为基础,研究了辽宁省产业结构升级与人力资本水平的发展现状及相互影响程度。并运用回归模型、ADF检验、协整关系检验、格兰杰因果关系检验等计量方法,通过对辽宁省1985-2016年相关数据的收集,分析了辽宁省人力资本水平对于产业结构转型的影响机理。衡量了人力资本水平与产业结构升级的关系,进而分析出两者互促的结论。并提出相应的政策建议。研究结果说明辽宁的人力资本水平与产业结构升级之间有着长期稳定的均衡关系,人力资本水平与产业结构的协调互促机制较弱,但人力资本水平的提高仍给产业结构升级提供了一定的推动力。通过对辽宁省三大产业结构、人力资本存量等方面的数据进行细致的分析,找出适应辽宁省产业结构升级的人力资本发展模式,从而确保辽宁省经济又好又快的发展。
[Abstract]:In recent years, under the background of good momentum of economic development in China, the economic and social development environment of Liaoning is also undergoing profound changes. The advantages of the demographic dividend have obviously weakened, the labor cost continues to rise, the upgrading of the industrial structure and the promotion of the economic innovation are the wise choice. The upgrading of the industrial structure of Liaoning province is late. Slow, this greatly constrains the revitalization of the old industrial base, the improvement of the level of human capital is the core element to promote the upgrading of the industrial structure, and it is the motive force to promote the healthy development of the economy. Only by ensuring the coordinated development of the human capital level and the industrial structure can the upgrading of the industrial structure be realized and the economic growth be accelerated; the development of the two will not be coordinated. On the basis of the related theories of industrial structure and human capital, this paper studies the status of industrial structure upgrading and human capital level in Liaoning province and the degree of mutual influence, and uses regression model, ADF test, cointegration test and Grainger causality test. By collecting the relevant data of Liaoning province for 1985-2016 years, this paper analyzes the influence mechanism of human capital level on industrial structure transformation in Liaoning Province, measures the relationship between the level of human capital and the upgrading of industrial structure, and then analyses the mutual promotion of the two, and puts forward the corresponding policy suggestions. The results show the human capital of Liaoning. There is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between the level and the upgrading of industrial structure, and the coordination and mutual promotion mechanism of human capital level and industrial structure is weak, but the improvement of human capital level still provides a certain impetus to the upgrading of industrial structure. The data of the three major industrial structures of Liaoning Province and the stock of human capital are meticulous. To find out the mode of human capital development to adapt to the upgrading of Liaoning's industrial structure, so as to ensure the sound and rapid development of Liaoning's economy.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F249.27;F127

【参考文献】