长春市城镇化与经济发展的关系研究
本文选题:城镇化 + 经济发展 ; 参考:《长春大学》2017年硕士论文
【摘要】:1978年以来,改革开放的春风吹拂祖国大地,自此我国经济实现稳速增长,城镇化建设也随着经济增长的良好态势不断发展,成为推动经济增长的强大引擎。城镇化建设已经成为我们国家在寻求发展过程中的重点工作。党的十八大提出两个一百年目标,其中一个即是到2020年我国将全面建成小康社会,着力解决民生福祉问题,促进社会公平和谐,不仅是建成小康社会的需要,也是城镇化建设的目标之一,城镇化建设也成为我国全面建成小康社会过程中的重要一环,成为我国走向现代化的必由之路。2017年政府工作报告中明确指出,要牢牢把握推进城镇化建设的要点,稳中推进城镇化水平的提高。同时,报告指出,要注重消费、投资、区域、产业、环境保护等政策的协调配合,确保经济运行的合理区间。结合城镇化的涵义来讲,其主要表现在人口的大量聚集,产业的不断优化升级,以刺激消费促进总需求增加,进而扩大投资,与此同时要做好生态环境保护工作,促进区域间协调发展,这些都与城镇化与经济发展之间有着密不可分的关系。长春市作为吉林省省会,是全省的政治、经济、科技、文化中心,地处松辽平原腹地,是东北亚地区重要的城市之一,近些年来城镇化水平建设有了显著提高,年均增长一个百分点左右,目前处于城镇化快速发展阶段,所以,在当前经济新常态的背景下,探究城镇化与经济发展二者之间关系,无论对于长春市城镇化建设还是经济发展都有重要的深远意义。本文首先在阅读大量相关文献的基础上,对有关城镇化与经济发展的相关文献进行了综述分析;第二章主要对城镇化的相关理论及测度方法做了理论上的介绍,并阐述了城镇化与经济发展之间的相互作用机制,为全文做了理论铺垫;第三章则主要通过历史研究与调查研究的方法对近代以来长春市城镇化发展状况进行了回顾,结合当前长春市城镇化建设及经济发展现状进行了简要分析,主要从城镇化水平、居民收入、基础设施、产业结构等方面展开论述,研究发现目前长春市城镇化建设及经济发展存在几方面问题,如:城镇化水平偏低、城乡居民收入差距较大、产业结构仍需优化等,这些成为本文展开研究并提出相关建议的依据;第四章运用计量经济学相关方法对长春市城镇化与经济发展之间的关系进行了实证分析,选取经过处理的城镇化率及人均GDP数据作为两个指标,通过单位根检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验及脉冲响应函数等计量方法探究二者之间的关系。研究结果表明,近些年来,长春市城镇化与经济发展之间存在长期均衡的协调关系,但是,城镇化对于经济发展的带动作用较为微弱,需要经过很长时间才能看出效果,而经济发展对于城镇化的影响则比较明显,在刚开始的时候反映波动就比较明显,随着社会的发展,这种促进作用也逐渐减弱。第五章则在前述章节理论与实证研究的基础上,结合长春市目前城镇化及经济发展现存的问题提出相关政策建议,从优化产业结构、改革现有户籍制度、提倡生态环保、建设绿色城镇及不断完善基础设施四方面提出相关建议,以期能够改善现有长春市城镇化建设及社会经济发展状况。
[Abstract]:Since the 1978, the spring breeze of the reform and opening up has blown the motherland. Since then the economy of our country has been steadily increasing, the urbanization construction has also developed with the good trend of economic growth, and has become a powerful engine for promoting economic growth. The construction of urbanization has become the key work of our country in the process of seeking development. The eighteen Party of the party has put forward two The goal of one hundred years is to build a well-off society in an all-round way by 2020, to solve the welfare problems of the people's livelihood and to promote the fair and harmonious society. It is not only the need of building a well-off society, but also one of the goals of the construction of urbanization. The Urbanization construction has become an important part of the process of building a well-off society in an all-round way in our country, and it becomes me. The only way to modernize the country in the.2017 report of government work clearly points out that we should firmly grasp the main points of promoting the construction of urbanization and promote the improvement of the level of urbanization. At the same time, the report points out that we should pay more attention to the coordination and coordination of the policies of consumption, investment, region, industry, environmental protection and so on, to ensure a reasonable range of economic operation. In terms of the connotation, it is mainly manifested in the large population aggregation, the continuous optimization and upgrading of the industry to stimulate consumption to increase the total demand, and then expand the investment. At the same time, we should do a good job of protecting the ecological environment and promote the coordinated development of the region. All these have a close relationship with the urbanization and economic development. Changchun is a city. As the provincial capital of Jilin Province, it is the political, economic, scientific and cultural center of the province, which is located in the hinterland of the Songliao plain. It is one of the important cities in the Northeast Asia. In recent years, the urbanization level construction has been greatly improved, the average annual growth is about one percentage point, and it is at the stage of rapid urbanization, so it is under the background of the current economic new normal. The study of the relationship between the urbanization and the economic development of the two is of great significance to the urbanization and economic development of Changchun. Firstly, on the basis of reading a large number of relevant documents, this paper makes a summary and analysis of the related literature about urbanization and economic development, and the second chapter is mainly about the theory of urbanization and the related theories. The measurement method is introduced in theory, and the interaction mechanism between urbanization and economic development is expounded. The theory paving for the full text is made. The third chapter mainly reviews the development of urbanization in Changchun by historical research and investigation, and combines the urbanization and economic development in Changchun. The presentation is briefly analyzed, mainly from the level of urbanization, residents' income, infrastructure, industrial structure and other aspects. It is found that there are several problems in the urbanization and economic development in Changchun, such as the low level of urbanization, the large income gap between urban and rural residents and the optimization of the industrial structure, which become the article. The fourth chapter makes an empirical analysis on the relationship between urbanization and economic development in Changchun by means of econometrics, and selects the processed urbanization rate and the per capita GDP data as two indicators, through unit root test, co integration test, Grainger causality test and impulse. The relationship between the two is explored by the response function method. The results show that, in recent years, there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between urbanization and economic development in Changchun. However, urbanization has a weaker driving effect on economic development. It needs a long time to see the effect, and the economic development is for urbanization. The fifth chapter, on the basis of the theoretical and empirical research of the previous chapters, combined with the existing problems of the current urbanization and economic development in Changchun, puts forward relevant policy proposals, and changes from the optimization of the industrial structure to the improvement of the industrial structure. The existing household registration system, the promotion of ecological environmental protection, the construction of Green towns and the continuous improvement of the infrastructure four aspects of relevant suggestions, in order to improve the existing urban construction and social and economic development in the city of Changchun.
【学位授予单位】:长春大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:F127;F299.27
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