西部内陆省区区域经济差异影响因素——以重庆为例

发布时间：2018-06-07 03:34

本文选题：区域经济差异 + 西部内陆地区　；参考：《地理研究》2017年05期

【摘要】：选取内陆开放的典型区域重庆市作为案例,综合运用基尼系数、泰尔指数和变异系数等方法,对重庆市1994-2014年间区域经济差异的演变进行测度和分析,并以区县经济差异(基尼系数)为因变量,选取西部省区中较具普适性的、囊括社会行政、经济、地理区位和政策四个方面的15个影响因素为自变量,运用岭回归和地理加权回归模型分别从"全局"和"局部"视角探讨其作用效果。研究表明:(1)研究时段内重庆市区域经济差异持续波动,基尼系数大体处于0.3~0.4之间,并表现出以重庆直辖、加速新型工业化战略及金融危机为三个节点的四阶段演变特征;(2)岭回归结果显示,城镇化、劳动力资源、非市场化、工业化、地形条件和政策倾斜是最为显著的六个影响因素;(3)地理加权回归结果表明,城镇化、劳动力资源、非市场化、工业化和政策倾斜对重庆市区域经济差异的影响表现出明显的空间差异特征,但地形因素的影响并不显著。研究对西部内陆地区的可持续发展具有一定科学指导意义。
[Abstract]:This paper selects Chongqing, a typical inland open region, as a case study, and measures and analyzes the evolution of regional economic differences in Chongqing from 1994 to 2014 by using Gini coefficient, Thiel index and coefficient of variation. Taking the economic difference (Gini coefficient) as dependent variable, 15 influencing factors, including social administration, economy, geographical location and policy, are selected as independent variables. The effects of ridge regression and geographical weighted regression are discussed from the perspective of "global" and "local" respectively. The study shows that the regional economic difference of Chongqing is fluctuating continuously during the period of study. The Gini coefficient is generally between 0.3 and 0.4, and it shows that Chongqing is directly under the jurisdiction of Chongqing. The regression results show that urbanization, labor resources, non-marketization, industrialization, and industrialization are the characteristics of the four-stage evolution of the three nodes: accelerating the new industrialization strategy and the financial crisis. Topographic conditions and policy tilt are the six most significant influencing factors. The results of geographical weighted regression show that urbanization, labor resources, non-marketization, The effects of industrialization and policy inclination on the regional economic differences in Chongqing showed obvious spatial differences, but the effects of topographic factors were not significant. The research has certain scientific guiding significance for the sustainable development of the western inland area.
【作者单位】：北京大学深圳研究生院城市规划与设计学院;
【基金】：国土资源部公益性行业科研专项(201311006) 国家自然科学基金项目(41401122)
【分类号】：F127

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