西南民族地区碳排放与经济增长脱钩关系研究

发布时间：2018-06-13 16:28

本文选题：西南民族地区 + Tapio脱钩弹性　；参考：《江西社会科学》2017年03期

【摘要】：西南民族地区是典型的生态脆弱区和环境敏感区,如何在全球气候变化背景下坚守发展与生态"两条底线",拓宽经济增长与环境改善的双赢之路是一项重要研究课题。基于此,本文以西南民族地区作为研究对象,利用IPCC分析法和Tapio脱钩理论模型,测度西南民族地区进入21世纪(2000—2015年)能源消耗产生的碳排放与GDP之间的脱钩关系,实证结果显示:西南民族地区CO_2排放量逐年增长,年均增长率高达7.68%;CO_2排放与经济增长脱钩状态在2000—2015年除2003年为增长连接、2001年和2005年为增长负脱钩外,其余年份基本处于弱脱钩状态,即CO_2排放增加速度小于经济增长幅度,显现出较好的低碳发展趋势,尤其是2013年的强脱钩状态,CO_2排放增速不仅小于经济增速,且首次出现了碳排放负增长。
[Abstract]:Southwest ethnic regions are typical ecological fragile areas and environmental sensitive areas. How to stick to the "two bottom lines" of development and ecology under the background of global climate change and broaden the win-win road between economic growth and environmental improvement is an important research topic. Based on this, using IPCC analysis and Tapio decoupling theory model, this paper measures the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and GDP caused by energy consumption in southwest ethnic regions from 2000 to 2015. The empirical results show that the emission of COSP in southwest ethnic areas increases year by year, and the average annual growth rate is as high as 7.68%. The state of decoupling from economic growth in 2000-2015, except in 2003, and in 2001 and 2005, is a negative decoupling of growth. The other years are basically in a weak decoupling state, that is, the increase rate of CO2 emissions is smaller than the economic growth rate, showing a good low-carbon development trend, especially in 2013, the strong decoupling state of CO2 emissions growth rate is not only less than the economic growth rate. And for the first time, a negative increase in carbon emissions occurred.
【作者单位】：贵州财经大学经济学院;贵州省社会科学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金青年项目“贸易开放下我国产业结构变动的碳排放效应研究”(14CJL032) 商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院与贵州财经大学联合研究基金项目“生态脆弱地区碳排放与碳承载力评估研究”(2016SWBZD05)
【分类号】：F127.8;X22

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