金砖国家服务贸易对经济增长影响的比较研究

发布时间：2018-06-20 21:14

本文选题：服务贸易 + 经济增长　；参考：《浙江工商大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：本文从比较分析金砖五国的视角,来研究服务贸易对于经济增长的影响。在世界经济服务化的背景下,金砖国家服务贸易发展迅速,并在国际服务贸易中占据越来越重要的地位。国内服务行业的进步和国际服务贸易的扩张,对于金砖国家的经济结构转型、发展方式转变和经济可持续发展均具有十分重要的意义。服务贸易从出口与进口两方面都能够促进经济增长。服务出口和一般商品出口一样,通过利用闲置资源、发挥比较优势、扩大资本积累和推进技术进步等方式促进出口国经济增长。最终消费服务进口对一国经济总需求有一定的压缩作用,但生产者服务进口能通过改变一国要素禀赋、提高本国分工水平和实现规模效益促进经济增长。本文通过比较分析发现,金砖国家服务贸易发展速度普遍较快,但在发展规模、行业结构以及竞争力等方面也存在着很大的差异。在此基础上,本文首先选取金砖国家1995-2012年面板数据进行实证分析,得出金砖国家服务贸易对于经济增长有显著的促进作用这一结论。然后,以金砖各国的时间序列数据分别进行回归分析,结果发现,服务贸易对金砖国家经济增长的影响存在差异,印度服务贸易对经济增长的影响最大,南非次之,中国和俄罗斯服务贸易对经济增长有一定的促进作用,巴西最弱。本文的结构安排如下：第一章是导论部分,阐述了本文的写作背景与研究意义,并介绍文章的研究方法、主要内容。第二章为国内外文献综述,分别从两个方面论述了国内外学者对服务贸易影响经济增长方面的研究。第三章阐述了服务贸易促进经济增长的基本理论。首先总结了服务贸易促进经济增长的理论基础,在此基础上进一步分析了服务贸易影响经济增长的路径。第四章主要介绍了金砖国家服务贸易发展现状,分别从服务贸易发展规模、行业结构和竞争力三个方面展开论述。第五章为实证部分,选取1995-2012年的经济数据,构建模型,先从总体上了检验金砖国家服务贸易对经济增长的影响,然后分别对每一个国家单独进行了研究,比较各个国家服务贸易对经济增长影响的差异。第六章,主要结论及建议。本章在前面五章的基础上,对全文的研究进行了梳理,总结结论,并提出促进我国服务贸易发展的建议。基于前述的理论与实证分析,本文提出了发展我国服务贸易的建议：一是发展现代服务业,加快服务业结构升级；二是发挥比较优势,进一步发展传统服务贸易；三是提高外资利用水平；四是加大教育投入,重视对人才的培养。
[Abstract]:This paper studies the impact of trade in services on economic growth from the perspective of BRICS. Under the background of the world economy service, the service trade of BRICS countries develops rapidly and occupies a more and more important position in the international service trade. The progress of domestic service industry and the expansion of international service trade are of great significance to the economic structure transformation, development mode transformation and sustainable economic development of BRICS countries. Trade in services can boost economic growth both in terms of exports and imports. Like general commodity exports, service exports promote the economic growth of exporting countries by utilizing idle resources, giving play to comparative advantages, expanding capital accumulation and promoting technological progress. The final consumption service import has a certain compression effect on a country's total economic demand, but producer service import can promote economic growth by changing a country's factor endowment, improving the level of domestic division of labor and realizing economies of scale. Through comparative analysis, it is found that the BRICS trade in services generally develops rapidly, but there are also great differences in the development scale, industry structure and competitiveness of BRICS countries. On this basis, this paper firstly selects the panel data of BRICS countries from 1995 to 2012 for empirical analysis, and draws the conclusion that BRICS trade in services has a significant role in promoting economic growth. Then, with the time series data of BRICS countries, the results show that there are differences in the impact of trade in services on the economic growth of BRICS countries, with India having the greatest impact on economic growth, South Africa taking the second place. Trade in services between China and Russia has contributed to economic growth, with Brazil the weakest. The structure of this paper is as follows: the first chapter is the introduction part, which describes the writing background and research significance, and introduces the research methods and main contents. The second chapter is a literature review at home and abroad, respectively from two aspects of domestic and foreign scholars on the impact of trade in services on economic growth. The third chapter expounds the basic theory of trade in services to promote economic growth. Firstly, it summarizes the theoretical basis of service trade to promote economic growth, and then further analyzes the way that service trade affects economic growth. The fourth chapter mainly introduces the current situation of service trade development in BRICS countries, respectively from three aspects: the scale of service trade development, industry structure and competitiveness. The fifth chapter is the empirical part, select the economic data from 1995 to 2012, build a model, first from the overall test of the BRICS trade in services on the impact of economic growth, and then to each country separately studied. Compare the influence of service trade on economic growth in different countries. Chapter VI, main conclusions and recommendations. On the basis of the previous five chapters, this chapter combs the full text of the research, summarizes the conclusions, and puts forward some suggestions to promote the development of China's trade in services. Based on the above theoretical and empirical analysis, this paper puts forward some suggestions for the development of China's service trade: first, to develop the modern service industry and speed up the upgrading of the service industry structure; second, to give full play to the comparative advantage and further develop the traditional service trade; Third, raise the level of foreign capital utilization; fourth, increase educational investment and attach importance to the cultivation of talents.
【学位授予单位】：浙江工商大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F746.18;F113

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