广州市城镇居民消费结构研究

发布时间：2018-06-27 16:15

本文选题：消费 + 消费结构　；参考：《广东省社会科学院》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放多年来,我国经济取得了令人瞩目的成绩。总体来看,我国已由生存型阶段进入到发展型的新阶段。其突出表现是,近十五年来,城镇居民的发展型消费支出比例明显超过生存型消费支出的比例。我国正在加快由生产型大国向消费型大国的转变进程,并且已经处于走向消费大国的历史拐点。目前,中国面临的经济下行压力大。经济改革进入了攻坚期和深水区,经济的发展进入新常态,更多行业面临着增速放缓的困境,急需转变发展方式、扩大内需、提升消费以寻找新的经济增长点和发展新动力。从宏观经济学的视角来看,居民消费增长、居民消费结构升级与经济增长之间存在着相互依存,相互影响的关系。居民消费增长和消费结构升级会推动经济增长,而经济增长又会增加人均收入,从而拉动居民消费增长、促进消费结构升级。消费结构可以反映一个国家或地区居民生活质量,也可以用来衡量一个国家或地区的社会经济发展状况。因此,研究居民消费结构不仅是消费经济理论中的核心问题,同时也是关系到整个宏观经济发展的重要课题。本论文以广州市城镇居民消费结构为研究对象,借助ELES模型等数学工具分析得出广州市城镇居民消费支出结构的特点;然后,通过国内一线城市北京、上海,以及国外发达国家美国、日本居民消费结构的比较,提出了独特的优化消费结构的建议。首先,本论文通过大量的数据资料,独到地分析了广州市城镇居民消费需求结构的变化特征。其次,对影响广州市城镇居民消费需求结构采用了静态的一般分析法和ELES的实证分析法,得到了广州市居民消费结构的动态特点和演变规律。再次,分析了广州市城镇居民的消费需求和人均收入对广州市城镇居民的消费结构的影响。再后,根据前面分析结果,将广州市城镇居民消费和消费结构目前所处的阶段和国内外发达地区和发达国家的消费结构作对比,总结发达国家和地区消费结构的发展经验。最后针对广州市城镇居民近年消费结构的特点,提出相应的对策和发展建议,以期使广州市居民消费结构优化升级,扩大内需,促进广州市经济发展。
[Abstract]:Reform and opening up for many years, China's economy has made remarkable achievements. In general, China has entered a new stage from the survival stage to the development stage. Its outstanding performance is that in the past 15 years, the proportion of urban residents' developmental consumption expenditure is obviously higher than that of survival type consumption expenditure. China is speeding up the process of transition from a large producer to a large consumer, and is already at the historical inflection point of becoming a big consumer. At present, China is facing a large downward pressure on the economy. The economic reform has entered the critical period and the deep water area, the economic development has entered the new normal, more industries are facing the predicament of slowing down the growth rate, it is urgent to change the development mode, expand the domestic demand, and promote the consumption to find the new economic growth point and the new power of development. From the point of view of macroeconomics, the relationship between the consumption growth, the upgrading of the consumption structure and the economic growth is interdependent and interactive. Household consumption growth and consumption structure upgrade will promote economic growth, and economic growth will increase per capita income, thereby stimulating household consumption growth and promoting consumption structure upgrading. The consumption structure can reflect the quality of life of the residents of a country or region, and can also be used to measure the social and economic development of a country or region. Therefore, studying the consumption structure of residents is not only the core problem in the theory of consumption economy, but also an important subject related to the development of the whole macro economy. This paper takes the consumption structure of urban residents in Guangzhou as the research object, with the help of the Eles model and other mathematical tools to analyze the characteristics of the structure of consumption expenditure of urban residents in Guangzhou; then, through the domestic first-tier cities Beijing, Shanghai, As well as the comparison of the consumption structure of American and Japanese residents in foreign developed countries, this paper puts forward some unique suggestions for optimizing the consumption structure. Firstly, based on a large amount of data, this paper analyzes the changing characteristics of consumption demand structure of urban residents in Guangzhou. Secondly, the static general analysis method and Eles empirical analysis method are used to analyze the structure of consumption demand of urban residents in Guangzhou, and the dynamic characteristics and evolution law of the consumption structure of Guangzhou residents are obtained. Thirdly, it analyzes the influence of consumption demand and per capita income on the consumption structure of urban residents in Guangzhou. Then, according to the results of the previous analysis, this paper compares the current stage of consumption and consumption structure of urban residents in Guangzhou with that of developed regions and developed countries at home and abroad, and summarizes the development experience of consumption structure in developed countries and regions. Finally, according to the characteristics of the consumption structure of urban residents in Guangzhou in recent years, the corresponding countermeasures and development suggestions are put forward in order to optimize and upgrade the consumption structure of Guangzhou residents, expand domestic demand and promote the economic development of Guangzhou.
【学位授予单位】：广东省社会科学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F126.1

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