去产能与劳动要素再配置——基于CGE的一般均衡分析

发布时间：2018-06-30 22:16

本文选题：去产能 + 去库存　；参考：《管理现代化》2017年03期

【摘要】：目前中国煤炭钢铁等行业存在产能过剩,在对其进行去产能的过程中,必然会对就业等经济现象造成一定的负面影响。通过在一个加入库存供给模块的CGE模型框架下,利用一般均衡分析去产能控产量对劳动要素再配资的影响。分析表明:去产能过程中适量减产去库存,全国就业总量有一定的下降,煤炭钢铁行业释放的闲置劳动力,部分被其他产业吸纳,并促进了这些产业的产出,转变了中国的产业结构。最后结合中国当前情况,就去产能过程出现的一些负效应提出了一些建议。
[Abstract]:At present, there is overcapacity in China's coal and steel industries, which will inevitably have a negative impact on economic phenomena such as employment. Under the framework of a CGE model with inventory supply module, the effect of production capacity control on labor factor redistribution is analyzed by general equilibrium analysis. The analysis shows that in the process of reducing production capacity and removing inventory, the total employment of the whole country has declined to a certain extent, and some of the idle labor released by the coal and steel industry has been absorbed by other industries, and the output of these industries has been promoted. Changed China's industrial structure. Finally, according to the current situation in China, some suggestions on the negative effects of the process of deproductivity are put forward.
【作者单位】：对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目(14AJL017)
【分类号】：F124;F249.2

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