空间相互作用与城市经济增长——来自长三角的证据

发布时间：2018-07-03 11:21

本文选题：空间相互作用 + 经济增长　；参考：《人口与经济》2016年04期

【摘要】：基于以往研究对空间相互作用方向性考虑不足的事实,文章以长三角133个县市为例,构建了融合新经济地理学与中心地理论的理论框架,将表征空间需求关联的总体市场潜能细分为来自同层级、高等级、低等级三个方向,利用空间计量模型估计了总体及不同方向的空间相互作用对长三角地区人均GDP增长与人口增长的效应。结果显示:在控制空间依赖导致的间接溢出效应等因素后,并未发现存在要素价格绝对调整或要素数量绝对调整的证据,总体市场潜能的提高同时促进了城市人均GDP增长与人口增长;就不同方向的空间相互作用而言,大城市的自身发展有利于中等城市的人均GDP增长,大城市之间、大城市对下级城市、小城市对上级城市形成了人口增长的良性互动格局,而中等城市之间以及中等城市对大城市的人口增长则表现为回流效应。
[Abstract]:Based on the fact that spatial interaction directionality has not been considered enough in previous studies, this paper takes 133 counties and cities in the Yangtze River Delta as an example to construct a theoretical framework to integrate new economic geography and central land theory. Subdividing the overall market potential associated with spatial demand into three directions: the same level, the higher level, and the lower level. The spatial econometric model is used to estimate the effects of spatial interaction on GDP growth and population growth in the Yangtze River Delta region. The results show that after controlling the indirect spillover effect caused by spatial dependence, there is no evidence of absolute adjustment of factor price or absolute adjustment of factor quantity. The improvement of the overall market potential also promotes the growth of GDP per capita and population growth in cities; in terms of spatial interaction in different directions, the development of large cities is conducive to the growth of GDP per capita in medium cities, and between large cities, The positive interaction pattern of population growth between big cities and lower cities and small cities with higher cities is formed, while the population growth between middle cities and large cities shows the effect of backflow.
【作者单位】：华东师范大学中国现代城市研究中心;华东师范大学城市与区域科学学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41471139) 上海哲学社会科学规划项目(2014BCK003) 华东师范大学优秀博士学位论文培育项目(PY2015001)
【分类号】：F127

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