河南区域经济差异的时空演变及影响机制研究

发布时间：2018-07-16 17:16

【摘要】：采用探索性空间数据分析、马尔科夫链以及空间多层次回归等方法,分析河南省近二十年来区域经济差异的时空演变及其影响机制。主要结论有:(1)空间尺度和时间尺度对河南省的区域经济差异有着重要的影响。空间尺度越小,区域经济差异越大。区级与市级的经济差异整体上呈现扩大的趋势,而县级经济差异趋于平缓变动。(2)从空间分布来看,大致呈现核心-外围的格局,富裕区域主要分布在河南省中部与西北部地区,特别集中在中部地区,而贫困区域主要分布在东部与南部,特别集中在东部区域。(3)投资水平、分权化、产业结构、资源禀赋等是造成河南区域经济差异扩大的原因,而市场活跃度、城乡分异、地形因素等则一定程度上缩小了这种差异。最后,提出缩小河南区域经济差异的政策建议。
[Abstract]:By means of exploratory spatial data analysis, Markov chain and spatial multilevel regression, this paper analyzes the temporal and spatial evolution and influence mechanism of regional economic differences in Henan Province in the past 20 years. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) Spatial scale and time scale have important influence on regional economic difference in Henan Province. The smaller the spatial scale, the greater the regional economic difference. The regional and municipal economic differences on the whole show a trend of expansion, while the economic differences at the county level tend to change slowly. (2) from the spatial distribution point of view, there is a core-periphery pattern, and the rich regions are mainly distributed in the central and northwestern regions of Henan Province. It is especially concentrated in the central region, while the poverty-stricken areas are mainly distributed in the east and the south, especially in the eastern region. (3) the level of investment, decentralization, industrial structure, resource endowment and so on are the reasons that cause the regional economic disparity in Henan to expand. Market activity, urban and rural differentiation, terrain factors and so on to some extent reduced this difference. Finally, the paper puts forward some policy suggestions for narrowing the regional economic differences in Henan.
【作者单位】：河南财经政法大学资源与环境学院;中原经济区"三化"协调发展河南省协同创新中心;河南大学环境与规划学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41101128,41271144,71473070,41601178) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目(15YJC790121) 河南省政府决策研究招标课题(2016A002) 河南省高等学校哲学社会科学农户活动与农区发展创新团队支持计划(2014-CXTD-07) 河南财经政法大学青年拔尖人才资助计划
【分类号】：F127

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