人口老龄化与居民家庭消费结构升级——基于CFPS2012数据的实证研究
发布时间：2018-07-17 06:21
【摘要】：运用中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS2012)数据实证检验了人口老龄化带来的消费结构变动情况。基准分析发现,人口老龄化会带来居民家庭消费结构的改善,但这一改善作用主要是通过提升居民家庭的医疗保健消费支出占比来实现的,人口老龄化对居民家庭交通通讯消费支出以及文教娱乐消费支出占比的影响均为负。进一步分析发现,相比于城镇地区而言,人口老龄化的消费结构升级效应在农村地区表现得更为强烈,这与我国大量的青壮年人口从农村迁移到城市,使得农村的人口老化程度相比于城镇地区更为严峻有关;对于健康状况更好的家庭而言,人口老龄化的消费结构升级效应反而更弱,健康状况越佳,人口老化对医疗保健消费支出更低,相应的对消费结构升级的作用效果越小,这意味着人口老龄化的消费结构升级效应还是浅层次的。
[Abstract]:The data of China Household tracking Survey (CFPS2012) is used to test the change of consumption structure caused by aging population. The benchmark analysis found that the aging of the population will bring about the improvement of household consumption structure, but this improvement is mainly achieved by increasing the proportion of household health care expenditure. The effect of population aging on the consumption of transportation and communication and the consumption of cultural and educational entertainment are both negative. Further analysis shows that, compared with urban areas, the effect of population aging on consumption structure upgrading is more intense in rural areas, which is associated with the migration of large numbers of young and middle-aged people from rural to urban areas. The aging of the rural population is more severe than that of the urban areas; for families in better health, the consumption structure escalation effect of the aging population is weaker, and the better the health, The effect of population aging on health care consumption is lower, and the effect of population aging on consumption structure upgrading is smaller, which means that the effect of population aging on consumption structure upgrading is still shallow.
【作者单位】： 上海财经大学财经研究所;上海财经大学上海市金融信息技术研究重点实验室;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“新常态下建立多点支撑的消费增长格局研究”(15ZDA013) 教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-13-0891) 上海市浦江人才计划(16PJ034)
【分类号】：C924.24;F126.1
本文编号：2129378
[Abstract]:The data of China Household tracking Survey (CFPS2012) is used to test the change of consumption structure caused by aging population. The benchmark analysis found that the aging of the population will bring about the improvement of household consumption structure, but this improvement is mainly achieved by increasing the proportion of household health care expenditure. The effect of population aging on the consumption of transportation and communication and the consumption of cultural and educational entertainment are both negative. Further analysis shows that, compared with urban areas, the effect of population aging on consumption structure upgrading is more intense in rural areas, which is associated with the migration of large numbers of young and middle-aged people from rural to urban areas. The aging of the rural population is more severe than that of the urban areas; for families in better health, the consumption structure escalation effect of the aging population is weaker, and the better the health, The effect of population aging on health care consumption is lower, and the effect of population aging on consumption structure upgrading is smaller, which means that the effect of population aging on consumption structure upgrading is still shallow.
【作者单位】： 上海财经大学财经研究所;上海财经大学上海市金融信息技术研究重点实验室;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“新常态下建立多点支撑的消费增长格局研究”(15ZDA013) 教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-13-0891) 上海市浦江人才计划(16PJ034)
【分类号】：C924.24;F126.1
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，本文编号：2129378
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