地方政府行为影响产业集聚的理论和实证分析

发布时间：2018-08-11 15:10

【摘要】：本文旨在研究地方政府行为对于产业集聚的影响。理论方面,将地方政府行为分为地方性公共物品供给行为、市场有效性的维护行为、知识溢出的促进与保护行为、地方保护主义行为四个方面。并对这四个领域的相关理论进行了详细的述,仔细探讨了这个四个方面的政府行为对于产业集聚的作用机制。我们认为地方性公共物品的支出有助于地方产业集聚度的提升,地方市场有效性的维护行为能提高产业集聚市场运行效率,知识溢出的促进和保护行为能够大大加快产业集聚形成和发展的速度,而地方保护主义行为对于地方产业集聚的影响则存在不确定性。实证方面,本文选举了地方GDP比重系数、地方财政支出比重、市场分配资源的比重、市场分割指数、科研人员占劳动人数比重指数五个变量来代表产业集聚指数、地方公共物品、地方保护主义、有效性维护、知识溢出五个因素,并选择地区人口比重、省级贸易量比重指数代表人口和对外贸易作为限制变量,整体构建了一个常规计量模型进行实证分析。为了动态而清晰的研究各个解释变量对于被解释变量的影响,我们使用了全国31个省2000-2009年总共10年的数据,建立了面板数据模型,经过科学合理的分析,最终从多个模型结论中选定了变截距固定效应模型结论作为最终实证结果。结果有力的支持了我们的理论分析结果,结论显示：地方公共物品支出、市场有效性变量系数、科研人员比重系数为正,公共物品支出在几个因素中的作用效果最为明显,代表地方保护主义行为的变量的显著性不够,表示了其影响的多元化情形。
[Abstract]:The purpose of this paper is to study the influence of local government behavior on industrial agglomeration. In theory, the behavior of local government is divided into four aspects: supply of local public goods, maintenance of market effectiveness, promotion and protection of knowledge spillover, and local protectionism. And the related theories in these four fields are described in detail, and the mechanism of government action on industrial agglomeration in these four aspects is discussed in detail. We believe that the expenditure of local public goods is helpful to the improvement of local industrial convergence, and the maintenance of local market effectiveness can improve the efficiency of industrial agglomeration market. The promotion and protection of knowledge spillover can greatly accelerate the formation and development of industrial agglomeration, while the impact of local protectionism on local industrial agglomeration is uncertain. Empirically, this paper elects five variables to represent the industrial agglomeration index, such as local GDP specific coefficient, local financial expenditure proportion, market allocation resource proportion, market segmentation index, scientific research personnel proportion index of labor force, and so on. Local public goods, local protectionism, effectiveness maintenance, knowledge spillover are five factors, and regional population proportion, provincial trade volume ratio index represents population and foreign trade as limiting variables, A general econometric model is constructed for empirical analysis. In order to study the effect of each explanatory variable on the explained variable dynamically and clearly, we used the data of 31 provinces from 2000 to 2009, established the panel data model, and analyzed it scientifically and reasonably. Finally, the conclusion of variable intercept fixed effect model is selected as the final empirical result from several model conclusions. Results support our theoretical analysis results, the conclusion shows: local public goods expenditure, market effectiveness variable coefficient, scientific research personnel specific gravity coefficient is positive, public goods expenditure in several factors the effect is the most obvious. The variables representing local protectionism are not significant enough, indicating the diversity of their effects.
【学位授予单位】：湖南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：D630;F127;F279.2

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