成都市公共基础设施投资对经济增长影响研究
发布时间：2018-08-12 14:36
【摘要】：公共基础设施作为公共产品,是社会经济发展的物质基础结构,不论对经济的增长与持续发展,还是对人们的生产生活都起着举足轻重的作用。作为拉动经济增长的“三驾马车”之一,投资对经济增长有着不可忽视的重要作用,公共基础设施投资作为投资最重要的组成部分,其投资的规模、结构将直接决定一个区域经济增长,为此公共基础设施投资一直以来备受关注。成都市近几十年经济增长无论规模和速度,都创造了一个个新的奇迹。在2008年经济危机之前,成都市经济年均增长率均保持在10%以上,经济发展规模也从1978年的35.94亿元增涨到2015年的10801.2亿元,究其原因,除了改革开放以来,成都市积极推进以市场经济为导向的政策以外,公共基础设施投资对经济增长的拉动也是不容忽视的重要因素。在后经济危机时代,在经济结构转型升级的大背景之下,当前成都市公共基础设施投资的规模和结构是否合理,未来成都市经济增长方式和发展方式的动力是否还是依赖大规模的公共基础设施投资来驱动,未来基础设施投资应怎样配合经济结构的转型升级等都是值得研究和探讨的问题。本文以成都市为研究对象,结合世界银行2014年对公共基础设施的最新定义,即公共基础设施分为一般公共基础设施和高级公共基础设施,先从理论上分析了公共基础设施的特征、分类以及公共基础设施投资对经济增长的影响机制;再从实证的角度以成都市1999年到2015年公共基础设施投资数据和经济增长数据用因子分析的方法,建立了公共基础设施投资与经济增长的多元回归模型,确定了二者具体的线性数量关系,通过理论和实证的研究得出了以下研究结论:第一,成都市公共基础设施投资和经济增长有着显著的相关关系。公共基础设施直接和间接影响着经济的增长,特别是重要的公共基础设施更是经济发展的先决条件,公共基础设施投资不足对经济增长的制约作用也是显而易见的。第二,高级公共基础设施成为成都市经济增长的重要影响因素。随着经济结构的转型升级,以及一般公共基础设施几十年大规模的持续投入和不断完善,教育、科技,医疗卫生、社会保障、环境保护等高级公共基础设施成为决定成都市经济持续增长重要条件。
[Abstract]:As a public product, public infrastructure is the material infrastructure of social and economic development. It plays an important role in the economic growth and sustainable development, as well as in the production and life of people. As one of the "troika" to stimulate economic growth, investment plays an important role in economic growth. As the most important part of investment, public infrastructure investment is the scale of investment. Structure will directly determine a regional economic growth, for which public infrastructure investment has been a concern. Chengdu's economic growth in recent decades, regardless of the scale and speed, have created a new miracle. Before the economic crisis in 2008, the average annual growth rate of Chengdu's economy remained at more than 10 percent, and the scale of economic development increased from 3.594 billion yuan in 1978 to 1.08012 trillion yuan in 2015. The reason is that, in addition to the reform and opening up, In addition to promoting market-oriented policies, the pull of public infrastructure investment to economic growth is also an important factor that can not be ignored. In the post-economic crisis era, under the background of economic structural transformation and upgrading, is the scale and structure of public infrastructure investment in Chengdu reasonable? Whether the driving force of Chengdu's economic growth and development mode is still driven by large-scale public infrastructure investment and how the future infrastructure investment should cooperate with the transformation and upgrading of economic structure are all worthy of study and discussion. This paper takes Chengdu as the research object, combined with the World Bank's latest definition of public infrastructure in 2014, that is, public infrastructure is divided into general public infrastructure and advanced public infrastructure. Firstly, it analyzes the characteristics, classification of public infrastructure and the influence mechanism of public infrastructure investment on economic growth. Then from the empirical point of view, using the data of public infrastructure investment and economic growth data from 1999 to 2015 in Chengdu, a multivariate regression model of public infrastructure investment and economic growth is established. Through theoretical and empirical studies, the following conclusions are drawn: first, there is a significant correlation between public infrastructure investment and economic growth in Chengdu. The public infrastructure directly and indirectly affects the economic growth, especially the important public infrastructure is the precondition of economic development. Second, high-level public infrastructure has become an important factor of economic growth in Chengdu. With the transformation and upgrading of the economic structure, as well as decades of sustained investment and continuous improvement of the general public infrastructure, education, science and technology, health care, social security, Environmental protection and other advanced public infrastructure has become an important condition for the sustained economic growth of Chengdu.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F283;F127
本文编号：2179354
[Abstract]:As a public product, public infrastructure is the material infrastructure of social and economic development. It plays an important role in the economic growth and sustainable development, as well as in the production and life of people. As one of the "troika" to stimulate economic growth, investment plays an important role in economic growth. As the most important part of investment, public infrastructure investment is the scale of investment. Structure will directly determine a regional economic growth, for which public infrastructure investment has been a concern. Chengdu's economic growth in recent decades, regardless of the scale and speed, have created a new miracle. Before the economic crisis in 2008, the average annual growth rate of Chengdu's economy remained at more than 10 percent, and the scale of economic development increased from 3.594 billion yuan in 1978 to 1.08012 trillion yuan in 2015. The reason is that, in addition to the reform and opening up, In addition to promoting market-oriented policies, the pull of public infrastructure investment to economic growth is also an important factor that can not be ignored. In the post-economic crisis era, under the background of economic structural transformation and upgrading, is the scale and structure of public infrastructure investment in Chengdu reasonable? Whether the driving force of Chengdu's economic growth and development mode is still driven by large-scale public infrastructure investment and how the future infrastructure investment should cooperate with the transformation and upgrading of economic structure are all worthy of study and discussion. This paper takes Chengdu as the research object, combined with the World Bank's latest definition of public infrastructure in 2014, that is, public infrastructure is divided into general public infrastructure and advanced public infrastructure. Firstly, it analyzes the characteristics, classification of public infrastructure and the influence mechanism of public infrastructure investment on economic growth. Then from the empirical point of view, using the data of public infrastructure investment and economic growth data from 1999 to 2015 in Chengdu, a multivariate regression model of public infrastructure investment and economic growth is established. Through theoretical and empirical studies, the following conclusions are drawn: first, there is a significant correlation between public infrastructure investment and economic growth in Chengdu. The public infrastructure directly and indirectly affects the economic growth, especially the important public infrastructure is the precondition of economic development. Second, high-level public infrastructure has become an important factor of economic growth in Chengdu. With the transformation and upgrading of the economic structure, as well as decades of sustained investment and continuous improvement of the general public infrastructure, education, science and technology, health care, social security, Environmental protection and other advanced public infrastructure has become an important condition for the sustained economic growth of Chengdu.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F283;F127
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前10条
1 孙早;杨光;李康;;基础设施投资促进了经济增长吗——来自东来自东、中、西部的经验证据[J];经济学家;2015年08期
2 何国君;;成都市交通基础设施建设对经济增长影响的实证分析[J];成都行政学院学报;2015年02期
3 沈春苗;董梅生;陈东;;政府基础设施投资偏向与经济增长[J];上海经济研究;2015年03期
4 胡艳;丁旭照;;合肥基础设施投资与经济增长关系的实证研究[J];合肥学院学报(社会科学版);2014年01期
5 徐建;李明东;;成都市基础设施建设对经济发展的影响探讨[J];西华师范大学学报(自然科学版);2013年04期
6 李强;郑江淮;;基础设施投资真的能促进经济增长吗?——基于基础设施投资“挤出效应”的实证分析[J];产业经济研究;2012年03期
7 黄庆;刘向杰;;基础设施的私人投资对经济增长的实证研究——基于河南数据分析[J];地域研究与开发;2009年03期
8 黄燕;杨婷婷;;成都市固定资产投资与经济增长关系的实证分析[J];法制与经济(下旬刊);2009年01期
9 柳杰;李治国;;基础设施投资与经济增长关系实证研究[J];商业时代;2007年30期
10 张军;高远;傅勇;张弘;;中国为什么拥有了良好的基础设施?[J];经济研究;2007年03期
相关博士学位论文 前1条
1 刘伦武;基础设施投资对经济增长推动作用研究[D];江西财经大学;2003年
，本文编号：2179354
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/jingjilunwen/shijiejingjilunwen/2179354.html
