城镇化背景下经济增长中的结构红利及空间溢出效应

发布时间：2018-08-13 20:43

【摘要】：城市经济是实现中国国民经济中高速增长重要的推动力量。根据产业结构理论,结构红利及其空间溢出效应是城市经济在新常态背景下可持续增长的内在要求和重要推动力。运用空间计量分析方法,并利用2001~2014年中国285个地级城市的面板数据,分析城镇化背景下经济增长中的结构红利及其空间溢出效应。研究发现在城镇化背景下,产业结构存在着显著的空间溢出效应,并且产业结构与经济增长之间呈现出显著的"倒U型"关系。通过更换量化指标、更换空间权重矩阵、细分样本区域及更换空间计量模型后,发现该结论仍然稳健。最后根据研究结论提出了四点促进经济增长的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Urban economy is an important driving force to achieve high-speed growth in China's national economy. According to the theory of industrial structure, structural dividend and its spatial spillover effect are the internal requirements and important driving forces for the sustainable growth of urban economy under the new normal background. By using spatial econometric analysis and panel data of 285 prefectural cities in China from 2001 to 2014, the structural dividend and its spatial spillover effects in economic growth under the background of urbanization are analyzed. It is found that under the background of urbanization, the industrial structure has significant spatial spillover effect, and the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth is "inverted U-shaped". By replacing the quantitative index, replacing the spatial weight matrix, subdividing the sample area and replacing the spatial measurement model, it is found that the conclusion is still robust. Finally, according to the conclusion of the study, the paper puts forward four policy recommendations to promote economic growth.
【作者单位】：沈阳农业大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金青年项目“县域全要素生产率提升中的结构红利:基于要素配置视角的测度、分解及其决定研究”(71503173) 辽宁省哲学社会科学基金一般项目“新常态背景下辽宁省县域经济生产效率提升的对策研究——基于产业结构升级的视角”(L15CJY014)
【分类号】：F124.1

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