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贸易开放度对阿塞拜疆经济增长的影响

发布时间:2018-08-14 14:34
【摘要】:本研究阐述了贸易开放度对阿塞拜疆经济增长的影响。本研究试图对这一领域的争论有所促进,并旨在提供以单个国家为着眼点的案例研究,因为就阿塞拜疆的个案而言,这方面的信息非常有限。文中采取的数据是自1992年至2013年期间的数据,其后的变量数据也取自这段时期。 本研究通过采用自变量:石油出口,进口量,通货膨胀,投资,人口,高等教育,FDI净流入,贸易份额及政府开支评估贸易开放度对因变量-人均GDP的影响。文献回顾详细论述了贸易开放度和增长相关的主要著述和最新研究。文献关于这个论题有时颇有争议,不同作者对贸易开放度对经济增长的影响持有不同的研究结果和不同观点。早期的研究倾向于支持贸易开放度与经济增长之间有强关联,而最近的研究认为,贸易开放并不足以解释经济增长。但是可以从文献回顾中看出一个总体趋势,就是一般认为贸易开放度对经济增长有重大影响。 本文也讨论了研究的限制性因素,将来在可获得数据的情况下可包括其他重要变量进行分析可能会对该论题的争论非常重要。回归结果表明,石油出口,高等教育入学率,CPI和贸易份额是解释阿塞拜疆人均GDP变化的显著因素,也对其他几个指标对于人均GDP这个因变量的显著性水平进行了检验。
[Abstract]:This study expounds the impact of trade openness on Azerbaijan's economic growth. This study attempts to contribute to the debate in this area and is intended to provide case studies focusing on individual countries, since in the case of Azerbaijan the information is very limited. The data are taken from 1992 to 2013, and subsequent variable data are taken from this period. This study assesses the impact of trade openness on the dependent variable, GDP per capita, by using independent variables: oil exports, imports, inflation, investment, population, higher education, net inflow of GDP, trade share and government expenditure. The literature reviews the main works and latest studies related to trade openness and growth. The literature on this topic is sometimes controversial. Different authors hold different research results and different views on the impact of trade openness on economic growth. Earlier studies tended to support a strong link between trade openness and economic growth, while recent studies suggest that trade openness is not enough to explain economic growth. However, a general trend can be seen from the literature review, which is generally believed that trade openness has a significant impact on economic growth. This paper also discusses the restrictive factors of the study, which may be very important in the future when the data are available and other important variables can be included in the analysis. The regression results show that oil export, higher education enrolment rate and trade share are the significant factors that explain the change of GDP per capita in Azerbaijan, and the significance of other indicators to the dependent variable of GDP per capita is also tested.
【学位授予单位】:大连理工大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F136.8;F753.68

【参考文献】

相关期刊论文 前5条

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