黑龙江省金融发展与经济增长的相关性研究

发布时间：2018-08-18 12:18

【摘要】：当今世界的经济是以少数发达经济体为主导的经济,几大主要经济体都是以市场经济为主体,金融的发展又是现代市场经济的重要支撑。根据大国崛起的发展历程,一个国家的崛起的历程就是这个国家金融不断变强的过程,金融体系越来越健全,能更好地服务于实体经济;反之,如果一国的金融行业发展十分缓慢,甚至扭曲,则会对其经济产生负面影响。黑龙江省地处我国的最北边,这里的土壤有机物含量高,富饶的土地养育了勤劳而勇敢的人们,人们在这片黑土地上开垦、致富。但是,它是我国的内陆地区,没有出海口,贸易往来也仅仅是与俄罗斯进行。我国的改革开放是由南向北逐渐推进的,黑龙江位于我国的最北部,没有受到改革的政策优惠,尤其在经济进入新常态的背景下,近几年,黑龙江省的经济发展一直落后于我国发达省份。即使国家几次采取了“振兴东北老工业基地”的战略,但是始终没有见到明显的效果,东北地区的经济增长仍然在全国居倒数的位置,金融业的发展更是没有沿海地区发达。正是基于这一点,本文选择了金融发展与经济增长这一切入点,来研究黑龙江省经济增长缓慢是否与金融发展落后有关系,有多大的相关性。研究明白了这一点,我们就可以知道我们应该如何解决黑龙江经济增长的问题,是否应该进行金融改革,正是以这样的出发点,我选择了这个题目。首先,运用自己所学的知识,分析了黑龙江省金融发展现状、经济增长的现状以及二者关系现状,在此基础上,指出了该地区金融行业存在的问题及这些问题对经济增长的影响;其次,选取了能够反映金融发展和经济增长的相关指标,收集了2000年——2015年黑龙江省的相关数据,进行实证分析,实证分析这部分主要是运用研究生期间学习的知识:单位根检验,协整关系检验,回归性分析,探究经济增长与金融发展的不同方面之间存在多大程度的相关性;再次,用Granger因果关系检验的方法验证了它们之间的影响是单向的——只是金融发展影响经济增长,还是双向的——金融发展对经济增长有影响,经济增长对金融发展也有影响;最后,根据实证研究和理论分析,提出有助于黑龙江省经济增长的一些建议。
[Abstract]:Nowadays, the world economy is dominated by a few developed economies, several major economies are dominated by the market economy, and the development of finance is an important support of the modern market economy. According to the development process of the rise of a great power, the process of a country's rising is the process of the country's financial development becoming stronger and stronger. The financial system is becoming more and more sound and can better serve the real economy. If a country's financial sector is slow or even distorted, it will have a negative impact on its economy. Heilongjiang Province is located in the northernmost part of our country, where the soil organic matter content is high, the rich land has nurtured industrious and brave people, people in this black land reclamation, rich. However, it is the inland region of our country, there are no sea ports, trade only with Russia. China's reform and opening up has been gradually advanced from the south to the north. Heilongjiang is located in the northernmost part of our country and has not received preferential policies from the reform, especially in the context of the new normal economy, in recent years. Heilongjiang Province's economic development has been lagging behind China's developed provinces. Even though the country has adopted the strategy of "revitalizing the old industrial base in Northeast China" several times, it has never seen any obvious effect. The economic growth of the Northeast region still occupies the lowest position in the whole country, and the development of the financial industry is not as developed as the coastal area. Based on this, this paper chooses the breakthrough point of financial development and economic growth to study whether or not the slow economic growth of Heilongjiang Province is related to the backwardness of financial development, and how relevant it is. When we understand this point, we can see how we should solve the problem of economic growth in Heilongjiang and whether we should carry out financial reform. It is with such a starting point that I have chosen this topic. First of all, using the knowledge we have learned, we analyze the present situation of financial development, economic growth and the current situation of the relationship between the two in Heilongjiang Province. This paper points out the problems existing in the financial industry in this region and their impact on economic growth. Secondly, the relevant indicators reflecting the financial development and economic growth are selected, and the relevant data of Heilongjiang Province from 2000 to 2015 are collected. Empirical analysis, empirical analysis of this part is mainly the use of postgraduate learning knowledge: unit root test, cointegration test, regression analysis, To explore the degree of correlation between economic growth and different aspects of financial development; thirdly, the Granger causality test is used to verify that the impact between them is one-way-only financial development affects economic growth. Or two-way financial development has an impact on economic growth, economic growth on financial development, and finally, according to empirical research and theoretical analysis, some suggestions are put forward to help economic growth in Heilongjiang Province.
【学位授予单位】：辽宁大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F832.7;F127

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