能源总量控制下山东省产业转型升级路径研究
发布时间：2018-08-21 08:09
【摘要】：2010年中国能源消耗超过美国成为世界第一大能源消费国。随之而来的就是一系列能源与环境问题：能源逐渐匮乏、温室气体排放急剧增加等等，为了解决这些问题，国家出台了一系列节能减排政策，“十二五”期间，国家节能减排考核体系又增加了新的约束性指标：到2015年，全国万元国内生产总值能耗下降16%；化学需氧量和二氧化硫排放总量下降8%；氨氮和氮氧化物排放总量下降10%。 山东省是能源消耗大省，到2011年山东省万元GDP能源消耗量是0.855吨标准煤，排全国第13位，是华东地区消耗量最大的省份。山东省如今正处于经济转型的关键时期，而经济的发展离不开能源的消耗，但国家规划中又明确提出了要控制能源的消费，并对山东省未来能源消费总量有了严格的控制要求，这就要求山东省能够找出如何能够在不影响经济发展的前提下控制能源消耗的方法。在此背景下，本文通过查找近20多年以来我省三次产业在国民经济中所占比重及能源消耗的相关数据，通过灰色关联度分析与面板数据模型分析对经济增长、能源消耗和产业结构三者之间的内在联系进行研究，得出结论：山东省经济的发展是以能源的大量消耗为代价的，并且山东省大多数地市的能源消费总量与第二产业产值正相关，与第三产业产值负相关，另外能源消耗总量与能源结构和科技发展情况也有一定的关系。据此文章提出了调整产业结构、能源结构和加快技术进步等一系列政策建议，，旨在通过这些政策建议能够提高山东省能源的利用效率，降低能源强度，最终实现减少能源消费总量的目标。
[Abstract]:In 2010, China overtook the United States to become the world's largest energy consumer. This is followed by a series of energy and environmental problems: a gradual shortage of energy, a sharp increase in greenhouse gas emissions, and so on. In order to solve these problems, the state has issued a series of policies on energy conservation and emission reduction. During the 12th Five-Year Plan period, The national assessment system for energy conservation and emission reduction has added new binding targets: by 2015, the energy consumption of the country's 10,000 yuan gross domestic product (GDP) has dropped by 16 percent; the total amount of chemical oxygen demand and sulfur dioxide emissions has dropped by 8 percent; and the total amount of ammonia nitrogen and nitrogen oxides emissions has dropped by 10.0 percent. Shandong Province is a big energy consumption province. By 2011, Shandong's energy consumption of 10,000 yuan GDP is 0.855 tons of standard coal, ranking 13th in the country, is the largest consumption province in East China. Shandong is now in a critical period of economic transformation, and economic development is inseparable from the consumption of energy. However, the state plan clearly proposes to control the consumption of energy, and has strict requirements for controlling the total amount of energy consumption in Shandong in the future. This requires Shandong to find out how to control energy consumption without affecting economic development. Under this background, this paper looks up the relative data of the proportion of three industries in the national economy and energy consumption of our province in the past 20 years, and analyzes the economic growth by grey correlation degree analysis and panel data model analysis. Based on the study of the relationship between energy consumption and industrial structure, it is concluded that the economic development of Shandong Province is at the expense of a large amount of energy consumption. Moreover, the total energy consumption of most cities in Shandong Province is positively related to the output value of the secondary industry and negatively related to the output value of the tertiary industry. In addition, the total amount of energy consumption is also related to the energy structure and the development of science and technology. Based on this, the paper puts forward a series of policy suggestions, such as adjusting industrial structure, energy structure and speeding up technological progress, aiming to improve the efficiency of energy utilization and reduce energy intensity in Shandong Province through these policy recommendations. Finally achieve the goal of reducing the total amount of energy consumption.
【学位授予单位】：山东财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F206
本文编号：2195089
[Abstract]:In 2010, China overtook the United States to become the world's largest energy consumer. This is followed by a series of energy and environmental problems: a gradual shortage of energy, a sharp increase in greenhouse gas emissions, and so on. In order to solve these problems, the state has issued a series of policies on energy conservation and emission reduction. During the 12th Five-Year Plan period, The national assessment system for energy conservation and emission reduction has added new binding targets: by 2015, the energy consumption of the country's 10,000 yuan gross domestic product (GDP) has dropped by 16 percent; the total amount of chemical oxygen demand and sulfur dioxide emissions has dropped by 8 percent; and the total amount of ammonia nitrogen and nitrogen oxides emissions has dropped by 10.0 percent. Shandong Province is a big energy consumption province. By 2011, Shandong's energy consumption of 10,000 yuan GDP is 0.855 tons of standard coal, ranking 13th in the country, is the largest consumption province in East China. Shandong is now in a critical period of economic transformation, and economic development is inseparable from the consumption of energy. However, the state plan clearly proposes to control the consumption of energy, and has strict requirements for controlling the total amount of energy consumption in Shandong in the future. This requires Shandong to find out how to control energy consumption without affecting economic development. Under this background, this paper looks up the relative data of the proportion of three industries in the national economy and energy consumption of our province in the past 20 years, and analyzes the economic growth by grey correlation degree analysis and panel data model analysis. Based on the study of the relationship between energy consumption and industrial structure, it is concluded that the economic development of Shandong Province is at the expense of a large amount of energy consumption. Moreover, the total energy consumption of most cities in Shandong Province is positively related to the output value of the secondary industry and negatively related to the output value of the tertiary industry. In addition, the total amount of energy consumption is also related to the energy structure and the development of science and technology. Based on this, the paper puts forward a series of policy suggestions, such as adjusting industrial structure, energy structure and speeding up technological progress, aiming to improve the efficiency of energy utilization and reduce energy intensity in Shandong Province through these policy recommendations. Finally achieve the goal of reducing the total amount of energy consumption.
【学位授予单位】：山东财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F206
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前10条
1 霍宗杰;周彩云;;我国经济增长、能源结构与能源消费关系的实证分析[J];当代经济管理;2010年05期
2 王强;郑颖;伍世代;李婷婷;;能源效率对产业结构及能源消费结构演变的响应[J];地理学报;2011年06期
3 吴巧生,成金华,王华;中国工业化进程中的能源消费变动——基于计量模型的实证分析[J];中国工业经济;2005年04期
4 张明慧,李永峰;论我国能源与经济增长关系[J];工业技术经济;2004年04期
5 林伯强;电力消费与中国经济增长:基于生产函数的研究[J];管理世界;2003年11期
6 彭舜磊;李鹏;楚纯洁;;近30年河南省能源消费与经济增长的典型相关分析[J];现代农业科技;2012年24期
7 崔立志;;能源、经济和环境作用机制及其实证分析[J];工业技术经济;2013年01期
8 史丹,张金隆;产业结构变动对能源消费的影响[J];经济理论与经济管理;2003年08期
9 王筱琼;;中国能源消费与GDP增长相关性分析[J];经济问题探索;2009年07期
10 满世荣;朱启才;;云南省产业结构与经济增长的关系研究——基于灰色关联模型[J];经济研究导刊;2011年35期
本文编号：2195089
本文链接：https://www.wllwen.com/jingjilunwen/shijiejingjilunwen/2195089.html
