新疆能源、经济、环境协调发展研究

发布时间：2018-08-26 11:57

【摘要】：一定的资源基础和环境容量是社会经济发展的基础，经济增长的实现同样伴随着一定的资源消耗和环境污染的代价。第一次科技革命以后，尤其是第二次科技革命以来，能源危机、环境恶化和生态破坏已经成为困扰全世界的难题。中国在改革开放以来经济建设取得极大的成就，以制造业为主的工业扩张成就了中国世界工厂的地位。但随之而来的还有生态的破坏和严重的环境污染。2012年冬天的全国性雾霾天气揭露了中国环境状况的恶劣状况，究其原因，忽略生态和环境承载力的粗放式的经济增长方式是主要原因。能源资源的大量开发和使用在破坏原有生态、产生大量污染物的同时也让中国面临能源危机。在能源、经济、环境三者矛盾日渐尖锐的背景下，三者的协调及可持续成为发展的重要问题。经济、环境和社会是可持续发展的三个关键因素，要实现可持续发展的目标，必须要实现这三个目标，缺一不可。能源-经济-环境（3E）系统间的相互协调以及相应的能源、经济、环境政策问题，越来越受到国内外社会各界的关注。新疆是我国重要的战略能源储备基地，在能源供给方面在东部乃至全国都占有重要的地位，但新疆脆弱的生态环境长久以来都是制约新疆可持续发展的因素。新疆国民经济和综合实力自西部大开发政策实施以来都有长足的进步，随之而来的还有新疆能源开发和利用、经济增长和环境保护三者之间日渐突出的矛盾。我们必须对新疆能源、经济和环境三者之间的关系进行深入的分析以促进新疆这三者的协调可持续发展并提供政策上的参考本文首先对选题的背景和意义进行了说明，并对国内外关于经济、能源、环境两两关系及三者关系的研究做出介绍并说明相关理论；其次，对新疆能源、经济和环境近年来的发展现状做出初步的统计描述，并在此基础上引入能源消费、环境污染、经济增长等内生变量,利用ADF单根检验法、JJ检验法等进行数量上的分析，，运用格兰杰因果关系检验、脉冲响应模型和方差分解的方法对1995年到2011年新疆能源、经济和环境的相关数据进行分析以估计两两及三者之间的相互关系。最后以理论分析和实证分析为基础，为新疆实现三者的协调可持续发展提供对策建议。
[Abstract]:A certain resource base and environmental capacity are the basis of social and economic development, and the realization of economic growth is accompanied by a certain cost of resource consumption and environmental pollution. After the first science and technology revolution, especially since the second science and technology revolution, the energy crisis, the environment deterioration and the ecological destruction have become the puzzling problems all over the world. China has made great achievements in economic construction since the reform and opening up. But then came ecological damage and severe environmental pollution. The nationwide haze weather in the winter of 2012 exposed the poor state of the environment in China, and the reasons for it were investigated. The main reason is to ignore the ecological and environmental bearing capacity of the extensive economic growth mode. The development and use of energy resources not only destroy the original ecology and produce a lot of pollutants, but also make China face the energy crisis. Under the background of the increasingly sharp contradiction among energy, economy and environment, the coordination and sustainability of the three becomes an important issue of development. Economy, environment and society are the three key factors of sustainable development. The coordination of energy, economy and environment (3e) systems and the corresponding energy, economic and environmental policies have attracted more and more attention from all walks of life at home and abroad. Xinjiang is an important strategic energy reserve base in China and plays an important role in the energy supply in the east and even in the whole country. However, Xinjiang's fragile ecological environment has long been a factor restricting the sustainable development of Xinjiang. The national economy and comprehensive strength of Xinjiang have made great progress since the implementation of the policy of developing the western region, followed by the contradiction between the development and utilization of energy, economic growth and environmental protection in Xinjiang. We have to take a look at Xinjiang's energy, The relationship between economy and environment is deeply analyzed to promote the coordinated and sustainable development of Xinjiang and to provide policy reference. The background and significance of the selected topic are explained in this paper. And the domestic and foreign research on the relationship between economy, energy, environment and the relationship between the three are introduced and related theories are explained. Secondly, the development status of energy, economy and environment in Xinjiang in recent years is preliminarily statistically described. On this basis, introducing endogenous variables such as energy consumption, environmental pollution and economic growth, using ADF single root test and JJ test to carry out quantitative analysis, using Granger causality test. Impulse response model and variance decomposition are used to analyze the energy, economic and environmental data of Xinjiang from 1995 to 2011 to estimate the relationship between the two and the three. Finally, on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical analysis, it provides countermeasures and suggestions for Xinjiang to realize the coordinated and sustainable development of the three.
【学位授予单位】：新疆财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：X2;F127

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