河北省绿色GDP投入产出表的编制与分析

发布时间：2018-09-04 08:40

【摘要】：全国经济快速发展的进程中,河北省的整体经济也有所提升。然而近几年河北省环境污染事件频频发生,不得不让我们重新认识经济发展所带来的负面影响。在这种背景下,传统的GDP核算指标仅仅能够代表国民经济总量的增长,却不能代表产业部门之间的经济联系,更不能反映资源环境问题。绿色GDP投入产出表能够很好的弥补传统GDP的这些缺陷,因此编制河北省绿色GDP投入产出表并对其分析是很有必要的。本文基于2012年河北省42部门投入产出表,通过搜集整理、统计与预测能够得到河北省资源耗减和环境降级数据,以绿色GDP指标为总量控制,采用绿色投入产出表的编表方法编制出2012年河北省42部门绿色GDP投入产出表。在此基础上,结合绿色系数分析法和模型分析法,对河北省绿色GDP投入产出表进行了分析,包括对绿色GDP与GDP总量的比较分析,绿色系数与原始系数比较分析,还包括从三大产业角度分析了绿色消耗系数和绿色分配系数,从42个部门角度分析了感应度系数和影响力系数,由于第二产业是河北省支柱型产业,所以本文把第二产业细分为27个部门,并且着重分析了27个部门的绿色消耗系数和绿色分配系数,从不同角度利用了不同的绿色系数对河北省经济发展进行了全面分析。结果表明,河北省的资源耗费与环境降级情况并不乐观。农业方面,虽然河北省近几年治理程度有所提升,但是水土流失仍比较严重。可以看出农林牧渔产品和服务部门的绿色感应度系数超过1,它对国民经济中其他部门的制约水平较高,具备了一定程度的推动作用;工业方面,水资源破坏严重,主要由工业部门造成的,粗放型发展和集约化程度低依然很突出,但是影响力系数和感应度系数超过1的却都属于工业部门,可以说明工业部门不管是辐射还是制约其他部门的能力都很强,支柱型产业的地位不容忽视;服务业方面,技术创新和设备管理不是很完善,感应度系数整体不太高,对经济的促进作用不是很明显。最后针对结果,提出着力发展科学化、创新型农业,加大对能源供应业的改造,促进工业向集约化转变,大力发展技术和知识都很密集的产业,加强各大企业节能减排意识、提高排污设备达标率等对策。
[Abstract]:In the process of rapid economic development, the overall economy of Hebei Province has also improved. However, in recent years, environmental pollution incidents occurred frequently in Hebei Province, which forced us to re-understand the negative effects of economic development. Under this background, the traditional GDP accounting index can only represent the growth of the total national economy, but not the economic connection between the industrial departments, let alone the resource and environment problems. Green GDP input-output table can make up these defects of traditional GDP, so it is necessary to compile and analyze green GDP input-output table in Hebei province. Based on the input-output table of 42 departments in Hebei Province in 2012, the data of resource consumption and environmental degradation in Hebei Province can be obtained by statistics and forecast, and the total amount of green GDP index is controlled. The green GDP input-output table of 42 departments in Hebei Province in 2012 was compiled by using the method of compiling green input-output table. On this basis, combined with green coefficient analysis and model analysis, the input and output table of green GDP in Hebei Province is analyzed, including the comparative analysis of the total amount of green GDP and GDP, the comparison of green coefficient and original coefficient. It also includes the analysis of green consumption coefficient and green distribution coefficient from the perspective of three major industries, and the analysis of sensitivity coefficient and influence coefficient from 42 departments, because the secondary industry is a pillar industry in Hebei Province. In this paper, the secondary industry is divided into 27 departments, and the green consumption coefficient and green distribution coefficient of 27 departments are emphatically analyzed, and the economic development of Hebei Province is comprehensively analyzed from different angles using different green coefficients. The results show that the situation of resource consumption and environmental degradation in Hebei Province is not optimistic. Agriculture, although Hebei Province has improved in recent years, but soil erosion is still relatively serious. It can be seen that the green sensitivity coefficient of the agricultural, forestry, pastoral and fishery products and services sector is more than 1, and it has a relatively high level of restriction on other sectors of the national economy and has a certain degree of impetus; in industrial terms, water resources are seriously damaged. Mainly caused by the industrial sector, the low degree of extensive development and intensification is still very prominent, but the influence coefficient and the sensitivity coefficient more than 1 belong to the industrial sector. It can be seen that the industrial sector is very strong in terms of radiation and constraints on other sectors, and the status of the pillar industries cannot be ignored; in the service sector, technological innovation and equipment management are not very perfect, and the overall sensitivity coefficient is not very high. The contribution to the economy is not obvious. Finally, aiming at the results, we put forward the following suggestions: to develop scientific, innovative agriculture, to increase the transformation of energy supply industry, to promote the transformation of industry to intensive, to vigorously develop industries with intensive technology and knowledge, and to strengthen the awareness of energy conservation and emission reduction among major enterprises. Improve the sewage equipment up to the standard and other countermeasures.
【学位授予单位】：河北大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127

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