京津冀地区人口与经济协调发展关系研究

发布时间：2018-09-15 07:07

【摘要】：京津冀地区是中国重要的人口集聚区和经济增长极,在京津冀协同发展的背景下研究京津冀地区人口与经济的协调发展关系,对于促进区域内经济的可持续发展具有重要意义。本文基于京津冀地区2000-2010年各区(县)和2000-2014年各城市的人口、GDP数据,运用人口—经济增长弹性、地理集中度、不一致指数、重心分析等方法探究京津冀地区人口与经济的协调发展关系,结果表明:1在总量规模上,京津冀地区整体人口增长与经济增长的协调度较高,但各城市人口增长与经济增长的协调度存在较大差异。2在空间分布上,从地理集中度来看,京津冀地区人口、经济地理集中度均呈现北部低、中南部高的分布特征,其中北京、天津经济地理集中度高于人口地理集中度,河北多数城市人口地理集中度高于经济地理集中度;从重心来看,京津冀地区整体的人口与经济重心都向东北方向移动,且经济重心的移动幅度大于人口重心,2个重心偏离距离不断加大,此外各城市的人口重心与经济重心也出现不同程度的分离。最后,提出了促进京津冀地区人口与经济协调发展的政策建议。
[Abstract]:The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is an important population agglomeration area and economic growth pole in China. It is of great significance to study the coordinated development of population and economy in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region under the background of the coordinated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region to promote the sustainable development of the regional economy. Based on the population GDP data of the districts (counties) and cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2000 to 2010, this paper applies the population-economic growth elasticity, geographical concentration and inconsistent index. The relationship between population and economy in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is studied by means of gravity analysis. The results show that the coordination degree between population growth and economic growth in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is higher than that in the total size of the population of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. In terms of geographical concentration, the population and economic geographical concentration of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region are all low in the north and high in the central and southern part of the region. The degree of economic geographical concentration in Tianjin is higher than that in population geography, and the geographical concentration in most cities in Hebei is higher than that in economic geography. From the perspective of the center of gravity, the overall population and economic center of gravity in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is moving to the northeast. The moving range of economic center of gravity is larger than that of population center of gravity, and the deviation distance of two centers of gravity is increasing, in addition, the population center of gravity and economic center of gravity of each city also appear different degrees of separation. Finally, some policy suggestions are put forward to promote the harmonious development of population and economy in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei.
【作者单位】：北京大学政府管理学院;京津冀协同发展联合创新中心;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41671120,41601117) 国家社会科学基金青年项目(15CJY055)~~
【分类号】：C924.2;F127

【相似文献】