新兴市场投资减速及对未来增长的影响

发布时间：2018-09-18 19:44

【摘要】：自2010年以来,新兴市场和发展中经济体的投资增长出现减速。投资减速在金砖国家和大宗商品出口国表现得更为明显,并且与发达经济体自全球金融危机以来的部分复苏形成鲜明对照。投资减速会对长期经济增长产生持续负面影响,并会降低创新速度。世界银行发表的这篇报告对新兴市场投资减速的原因进行了分析,认为投资减速源于经济活动下降、政策不确定性等不利因素,这些因素抵消了低融资成本等良好金融条件的作用。为了加快投资,报告认为当前新兴市场和发展中经济体仍有大量未被满足的投资需求,决策者可以通过增加公共投资来直接促进投资,也可以通过鼓励私人投资、改善投资前景和营商环境等间接促进投资。为促进投资的可持续性增长,上述政策还须以结构改革为支撑。
[Abstract]:Investment growth in emerging markets and developing economies has slowed since 2010. The slowdown in investment was more pronounced in BRICS and commodity exporters and contrasted with some of the recovery in advanced economies since the global financial crisis. Slower investment will continue to have a negative impact on long-term economic growth and slow innovation. The report published by the World Bank analyzes the reasons for the slowdown in investment in emerging markets, and believes that the slowdown in investment is due to adverse factors such as declining economic activity, policy uncertainty, and so on. These factors offset the role of good financial conditions such as low financing costs. To accelerate investment, the report argues that there are still large unmet investment needs in emerging markets and developing economies, and that policymakers can either directly promote investment by increasing public investment or by encouraging private investment. Improve investment prospects and business environment and other indirect investment promotion. To promote sustainable investment growth, these policies must also be underpinned by structural reform.
【作者单位】：世界银行发展经济学研究部;
【分类号】：F113

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