基于灰色动态关联法的中国经济波动性研究
发布时间：2018-11-06 20:55
【摘要】：文章采用灰色动态关联分析法对我国1977—2014年的六轮经济周期进行了定量研究。研究表明,经济波动的主要影响因素为政府的经济政策和制度变动,但随着经济改革的深入,技术因素变得越来越重要,相对而言,社会因素和市场因素的重要性次于前者。因此,继续推进体制改革、发挥政府的宏观调控职能、完善创新机制,以促进经济平稳健康发展。
[Abstract]:In this paper, the grey dynamic correlation analysis is used to quantitatively study the six economic cycles in China from 1977 to 2014. The research shows that the main influencing factor of economic fluctuation is the change of government's economic policy and system, but with the deepening of economic reform, the technical factor becomes more and more important, relatively speaking, the importance of social factor and market factor is inferior to the former. Therefore, we should continue to promote the reform of the system, give play to the macro-control function of the government, and perfect the innovative mechanism to promote the steady and healthy development of the economy.
【作者单位】： 中国石油大学工商管理学院;中国移动通信有限公司;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71403292)
【分类号】：F124.8
[Abstract]:In this paper, the grey dynamic correlation analysis is used to quantitatively study the six economic cycles in China from 1977 to 2014. The research shows that the main influencing factor of economic fluctuation is the change of government's economic policy and system, but with the deepening of economic reform, the technical factor becomes more and more important, relatively speaking, the importance of social factor and market factor is inferior to the former. Therefore, we should continue to promote the reform of the system, give play to the macro-control function of the government, and perfect the innovative mechanism to promote the steady and healthy development of the economy.
【作者单位】： 中国石油大学工商管理学院;中国移动通信有限公司;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目(71403292)
【分类号】：F124.8
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