江苏、浙江、广东经济增长质量的比较

发布时间：2018-11-08 08:28

【摘要】：经济增长问题是宏观经济学界历久弥新的话题,从古典增长理论,到新凯恩斯主义、理性预期学派等均对经济增长给予了高度的重视,然而经济学界关注的重点往往集中于经济增长数量的提高,而针对经济增长质量问题却关注较少。目前我国在新形势下,再不能单纯关注GDP的增长,更要关注一个有关环境、资源可持续性水平、产业结构、经济稳定性水平等在内的多元化的经济指标,因此本文致力于对经济增长质量问题进行研究。论文首先对经济增长质量的内涵进行了界定,在前人总结的基础上,笔者针对江苏、浙江、广东省的具体省情,确定了评价经济增长质量的五大维度：经济增长效益维度、经济增长稳定性维度、经济增长协调性维度、经济增长可持续性维度和人民生活水平维度。结合上述五大维度,论文构建了包含19个基础指标的经济增长质量的综合评价体系,并采用主成分分析法,对江苏、浙江、广东的经济增长质量进行评价和比较。同时,为更深入地比较三省的经济增长质量,论文进一步深入到各省份的城市层面,通过对每个省龙头城市的经济增长质量比较,从更微观的层面剖析三省的经济质量差异。选取的龙头城市为南京、苏州、无锡、杭州、宁波、广州和深圳。基于测度的结果,论文发现：制约三省及七市经济增长质量提高的因素主要是：1)经济波动较大；2)产业结构升级面临瓶颈；3)环境和资源消耗过大。同时,江苏省相对浙江和广东,经济波动幅度较小,面对外部经济冲击,其风险抵御能力较强,经济恢复能力较好,论文推测江苏以大中型企业为主的企业结构使得江苏具备了上述竞争优势。最后,针对评价结果,论文提出了相应的政策建议：1)推进省内企业间的并购重组,做大做强企业,形成产业链优势,提升经济的抗风险能力和经济恢复能力：2)促进各省经济的优化升级,提升产业结构的高度,大力发展新兴产业、生产性服务业；3)发展低碳经济,提高能源利用效率,做大做强节能环保产业。
[Abstract]:The issue of economic growth is an old topic in macroeconomics. From classical growth theory to neo-Keynesianism and rational expectation school, economic growth has been attached great importance to. However, the focus of attention in the field of economic growth is often focused on the increase of the quantity of economic growth, but little attention is paid to the quality of economic growth. At present, under the new situation, our country can no longer simply pay attention to the growth of GDP, but also to a diversified economic index related to the environment, the level of resource sustainability, the industrial structure, the level of economic stability, and so on. Therefore, this paper is devoted to the study of the quality of economic growth. Firstly, this paper defines the connotation of economic growth quality. On the basis of the previous summary, the author determines five dimensions to evaluate the quality of economic growth: economic growth benefit dimension, aiming at the specific provincial conditions of Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Guangdong Province. Economic growth stability dimension, economic growth coordination dimension, economic growth sustainability dimension and people's living standard dimension. Combined with the above five dimensions, the paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation system of economic growth quality including 19 basic indicators, and evaluates and compares the quality of economic growth in Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Guangdong by principal component analysis. At the same time, in order to compare the economic growth quality of the three provinces more deeply, the paper goes further into the urban level of each province, and analyzes the economic quality difference of the three provinces from a more micro level by comparing the economic growth quality of each provincial leading city. The leading cities are Nanjing, Suzhou, Wuxi, Hangzhou, Ningbo, Guangzhou and Shenzhen. Based on the results of measurement, the paper finds that the main factors restricting the improvement of economic growth quality in three provinces and seven cities are: 1) greater economic fluctuation; 2) bottleneck in upgrading industrial structure; 3) excessive consumption of environment and resources. At the same time, compared with Zhejiang and Guangdong, Jiangsu Province has a relatively small range of economic fluctuations. In the face of external economic shocks, Jiangsu Province has a stronger ability to withstand risks and better economic recovery. The paper speculated that the structure of large and medium-sized enterprises made Jiangsu have the above competitive advantage. Finally, according to the evaluation results, the paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations: 1) to promote M & A among enterprises in the province, to make enterprises bigger and stronger, to form the advantages of industrial chain. Promoting the ability of resisting risks and economic recovery: 2) promoting the optimization and upgrading of provincial economy, raising the height of industrial structure, and vigorously developing new industries and producer services; 3) develop low carbon economy, improve energy use efficiency and strengthen energy saving and environmental protection industry.
【学位授予单位】：南京大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127

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