增长阻力和结构性改革:国际困境及启示

发布时间：2018-11-11 08:38

【摘要】：当前世界经济缺乏增长新动能,整体上仍然处于最低迷的时期,国家之间增长态势分化,深入推进结构性改革是中国经济适应并引领新常态的必然选择。当前世界经济陷入长期停滞风险的主要原因在于全球性产能过剩、技术进步受挫、劳动力市场结构性矛盾突出、经济系统高杠杆、实体产业空心化等,部分发达国家财政政策效果不明朗、金融创新过度、人口老龄化问题严重,发展中国家抗外部冲击能力不强、贫困和收入分配问题严峻等矛盾,阻碍了各主要经济体完善宏观调控和结构性改革的进程。由此可见,中国经济的外部环境仍然严峻,没有任何一个国家可以为中国深化改革提供教科书,唯有坚持以供给侧结构性改革为主线,以重点领域和关键环节为突破口,破除体制机制障碍,化解经济社会发展中长期存在的深层次矛盾。
[Abstract]:At present, the world economy lacks new momentum of growth and is still in the most depressed period on the whole. It is an inevitable choice for China's economy to adapt to and lead the new normal because of the differentiation of growth situation among countries and the further promotion of structural reform. At present, the main causes of the world economy falling into the risk of long-term stagnation are global overcapacity, setbacks in technological progress, prominent structural contradictions in the labor market, high leverage in the economic system, and the hollowing out of real industries. In some developed countries, the effects of fiscal policies are unclear, financial innovation is excessive, the problem of population aging is serious, the ability of developing countries to resist external shocks is not strong, and the problems of poverty and income distribution are severe. Hindered the major economies to improve macroeconomic control and structural reform process. From this we can see that the external environment of China's economy is still grim. No country can provide a textbook for China's deepening reform. It can only adhere to the supply-side structural reform as the main line and take the key areas and key links as the breakthrough point. Break down the system mechanism obstacle, resolve the deep level contradiction that economy and society develop for a long time.
【作者单位】：中国社会科学院财经战略研究院;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目招标课题“外部冲击和结构性转换下的中高速增长和中高端发展研究”(15ZDC010)
【分类号】：F124

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