经济开放对广东经济增长作用的研究

发布时间：2018-11-27 13:31

【摘要】：中国的对外开放即将进入40周年,自改革开放以来,中国的经济取得了巨大的成绩,近几年在新的国际背景下国家和政府对均对外开放工作进行了总结和展望。广东作为中国最重要的对外开放省份之一,其经济对外开放建设得到国家的大力重视。在过去的20年里,广东的经济平稳有序的发展,1995-2015年GDP年均增速为14%,其中经济对外开放对广东经济的增长有着重要的贡献。因此,要部署好新时代下广东的经济对外开放战略,必须了解过去广东经济对外开放的程度及其对广东经济增长带来的影响,总结其变化趋势,以此作为进一步开放的起点。本文通过选取主要的6个方面经济开放度相关的指标,分别是贸易开放度、投资开放度、生产开放度、技术开放度、旅游开放度和金融开放度,对1995-2015年间广东各方面的经济开放情况进行研究,并通过采用因子分析法测算出广东的综合经济开放度,在此基础上应用调整后的道格拉斯生产函数,加入综合经济开放度作为冲击因素,分析综合经济开放度对广东经济的作用。本文发现1995-2105年间广东的贸易开放度、生产开放度先提升后下降,投资开放度和旅游开放度则呈现了不断下降的趋势,技术开放度和金融开放度总体呈上升趋势。通过因子分析法测算的广东综合经济开放度变化呈现抛物线。另外与全国平均情况对比,广东经济开放度要高于全国水平。在实证关系研究部分,本文发现1995-2015年间广东经济开放度对广东经济增长有积极的拉动作用,而且是滞后效应。根据研究所发现的问题,最后本文为广东的对外经济开放建设提出了相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:China's opening to the outside world is about to enter its 40th anniversary. Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has made great achievements. In recent years, under the new international background, the state and government have summarized and prospected the work of opening to the outside world. Guangdong is one of the most important open provinces in China. In the past 20 years, Guangdong's economy has developed steadily and orderly. The average annual growth rate of GDP from 1995 to 2015 is 14%, in which the opening up of the economy makes an important contribution to the growth of Guangdong's economy. Therefore, in order to plan Guangdong's economic opening strategy in the new era, we must understand the extent of Guangdong's economic opening up in the past and its influence on Guangdong's economic growth, sum up its changing trend, and take it as the starting point for further opening up. This paper selects the main economic openness in six aspects, which are trade openness, investment openness, production openness, technology openness, tourism openness and financial openness. This paper studies the situation of Guangdong's economic opening from 1995 to 2015, calculates the comprehensive economic openness of Guangdong by factor analysis, and applies the adjusted Douglas production function on this basis. This paper analyzes the effect of comprehensive economic openness on Guangdong economy by adding comprehensive economic openness as an impact factor. This paper finds that the trade openness of Guangdong from 1995 to 2105, the open degree of production rose first and then decreased, the opening degree of investment and tourism showed a downward trend, and the openness of technology and finance showed an overall upward trend. The change of Guangdong's comprehensive economic openness measured by factor analysis presents parabola. In addition, compared with the national average, Guangdong's economic openness is higher than the national level. In the part of empirical relationship research, this paper finds that the economic openness of Guangdong has a positive effect on Guangdong's economic growth from 1995 to 2015, and it is also a lag effect. According to the problems found in the study, this paper puts forward corresponding policy recommendations for Guangdong's foreign economic opening construction.
【学位授予单位】：广东外语外贸大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127

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