中速增长背景下环渤海地区发展效率综合评价研究
发布时间：2018-11-28 07:31
【摘要】：中国进入中速增长时期,在中国经济新常态背景下,我国应该尽快转变发展结构,重视区域发展效率,尽快实现区域稳定可持续发展。文章选取环渤海地区三省两市为研究对象,从经济发展、社会发展、资源利用、环境保护四个方面综合分析,建立评价指标体系。对环渤海地区区域经济、社会、资源、环境的发展现状进行评价,运用DEA-Malmquist指数模型首先以时间尺度对环渤海地区44个城市的经济发展效率、社会发展效率、资源利用效率和环境保护效率进行分析,加之以空间尺度的探究,进而对其综合发展效率进行评价,进一步对分析环渤海地区综合发展效率空间差异。并以此为依据,针对三种效率类型的城市探究其提高综合发展效率的举措。运用数据包络分析方法测算环渤海地区综合发展效率得出结论:(1)在经济发展效率方面,2014年环渤海地区经济发展效率值为0.626,未实现最优有效性,处于较低水平,说明经济投入要素未实现最优利用;2005-2014年,环渤海地区经济发展效率呈现逐年上升的变化,Malmquist效率指数均值为1.090;(2)就社会发展效率而言,2014年环渤海地区社会发展效率值为0.961,处于中等水平,并且纯技术效率与规模效率均处于中等水平;2005-2014年,环渤海地区社会发展效率呈现出逐年下降的过程,Malmquist效率指数均值为0.819;(3)就资源利用效率而言,2014年环渤海地区资源利用效率值为0.736,处于较低水平,说明其资源浪费较为严重,资源配置较为不合理;2005-2014年,环渤海地区资源利用效率呈现出先上升后下降的变化过程,Malmquist效率指数均值为0.969;(4)就环境保护效率而言,2014年环渤海地区环境保护效率值为0.637,处于较低水平,需要加大环保要素的投入;2005-2014年,环渤海地区环境保护效率呈现出先上升后下降的变化过程,Malmquist效率指数均值为1.036;(5)就综合发展效率而言,2014年环渤海地区综合发展效率值为0.667,处于较低水平,仅有两个城市实现了效率最优。2005-2014年,环渤海地区综合发展效率全要素生产率指数均值为0.936,小于1,只有三个城市的综合发展效率处于上升状态。环渤海地区综合发展效率的结构与模式处于不合理的发展阶段。对研究区域发展效率空间差异评价分析,结果表明:2005-2014年环渤海地区综合效率最优的城市极少,综合发展化效率中等的城市分布一直位于辽宁省的东北部以及山东省的个别地市。较为发达城市的综合发展效率普遍没有达到高的水平,这说明随着社会发展的进程,虽然加快了城市社会经济的发展,但是忽略的地区发展效率的重要性,从而阻碍了其正常发展,表现为城市生产布局失调,发展不均衡,资源要素的利用不合理,城市发展处于较为恶劣的环境。运用方法、指标和图形分析,对比环渤海地区综合发展效率的影响因素得出,经济发展、社会进步、资源利用和环保要素的合理分配均对综合发展效率的提升有促进作用,因此,区域发展在注重综合效率提升的同时要转变经济发展方式,注重社会进步,建设资源节约型社会,加大环保要素投入,合理规划城市发展。最后,归纳整理环渤海地区各城市发展效率分析评价结果,针对不同发展效率类型的城市,从产业布局、均衡发展、城市职能等方面提出相应的提高区域发展效率的措施和建议,以促进各城市协调健康发展。
[Abstract]:Under the background of the new normal state of China's economy, China should change the development structure as soon as possible, attach importance to the regional development efficiency and realize the sustainable development of the region as soon as possible. The paper selects the two cities of the three provinces of the Bohai Rim as the research object, and makes a comprehensive analysis on the four aspects of economic development, social development, resource utilization and environmental protection, and sets up an evaluation index system. By using the DEA-Malmquist index model, the economic development efficiency, the social development efficiency, the resource utilization efficiency and the environmental protection efficiency of the 44 cities in the Bohai Rim region are analyzed by using the DEA-Malmquist index model. Combined with the exploration of the space scale, the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai area is evaluated, and the spatial difference of the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai area is further analyzed. On the basis of this, an initiative to improve the efficiency of integrated development is explored for three types of cities. The data envelopment analysis method is used to calculate the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai Sea region. (1) In the aspect of economic development efficiency, the economic development efficiency of the Bohai area in 2014 is 0.626, the optimal effectiveness is not achieved, and the economic input factors are not optimally utilized; In the period of 2005-2014, the economic development efficiency of the Bohai Rim region has changed year by year, the mean value of Malmquist's efficiency index is 1. 090; (2) In terms of social development efficiency, the social development efficiency value of the Bohai Sea region in 2014 is 0.961, in the middle level, and the pure technical efficiency and the scale efficiency are at medium level; In the period of 2005-2014, the social development efficiency of the Bohai Rim region has been decreasing year by year, and the average Malmquist efficiency index is 0.819; (3) In terms of the utilization efficiency of the resources, the resource utilization efficiency of the Bohai Sea region in 2014 is 0.736 and is at a lower level, indicating that the resource waste is more serious, The resource allocation is not reasonable; in 2005-2014, the utilization efficiency of the resources in the Bohai area shows the change of the first-rise and the Malmquist efficiency index is 0.9669; (4) In terms of the environmental protection efficiency, the environmental protection efficiency of the Bohai area in 2014 is 0. 637, which is at a lower level. In 2005-2014, the environmental protection efficiency of the Bohai area showed a change of first-rise and the Malmquist efficiency index was 1,036; (5) In terms of the overall development efficiency, the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai area in 2014 was 0. 667, at a lower level. Only two cities have achieved the best efficiency. In 2005-2014, the overall factor productivity index of the overall development efficiency of the Bohai area is 0.936, less than 1, and the overall development efficiency of only three cities is in a rising state. The structure and mode of integrated development efficiency in the Bohai area are at an unreasonable stage of development. The results of the evaluation on the spatial difference of the development efficiency of the study area show that the urban distribution with the optimal comprehensive efficiency of the Bohai area in the period of 2005-2014 is very small, and the urban distribution of the comprehensive development efficiency is always located in the northeast of Liaoning Province and the individual cities in Shandong Province. The general development efficiency of the more developed cities has not reached a high level, which indicates that with the process of social development, although the development of the urban social economy is accelerated, the importance of the development efficiency of the region is ignored, and the normal development of the city is hindered. The urban development is not balanced, the utilization of resource elements is not reasonable, and the development of the city is in a bad environment. By using the method, the index and the graphic analysis, the influence factors of the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai area are compared, and the reasonable distribution of the economic development, the social progress, the resource utilization and the environmental protection elements has a catalytic effect on the improvement of the comprehensive development efficiency, The regional development should change the way of economic development while focusing on the improvement of the comprehensive efficiency, pay attention to the social progress, build the resource-saving society, increase the investment of the environmental protection elements, and reasonably plan the urban development. In the end, the results of the analysis and evaluation on the development efficiency of the cities in the Bohai area are summarized, and the measures and suggestions for improving the regional development efficiency are put forward from the aspects of industrial layout, balanced development and urban function, aiming at the cities with different development efficiency types. in ord to promote that harmonious and healthy development of the cities.
【学位授予单位】：山东师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127
本文编号：2362226
[Abstract]:Under the background of the new normal state of China's economy, China should change the development structure as soon as possible, attach importance to the regional development efficiency and realize the sustainable development of the region as soon as possible. The paper selects the two cities of the three provinces of the Bohai Rim as the research object, and makes a comprehensive analysis on the four aspects of economic development, social development, resource utilization and environmental protection, and sets up an evaluation index system. By using the DEA-Malmquist index model, the economic development efficiency, the social development efficiency, the resource utilization efficiency and the environmental protection efficiency of the 44 cities in the Bohai Rim region are analyzed by using the DEA-Malmquist index model. Combined with the exploration of the space scale, the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai area is evaluated, and the spatial difference of the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai area is further analyzed. On the basis of this, an initiative to improve the efficiency of integrated development is explored for three types of cities. The data envelopment analysis method is used to calculate the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai Sea region. (1) In the aspect of economic development efficiency, the economic development efficiency of the Bohai area in 2014 is 0.626, the optimal effectiveness is not achieved, and the economic input factors are not optimally utilized; In the period of 2005-2014, the economic development efficiency of the Bohai Rim region has changed year by year, the mean value of Malmquist's efficiency index is 1. 090; (2) In terms of social development efficiency, the social development efficiency value of the Bohai Sea region in 2014 is 0.961, in the middle level, and the pure technical efficiency and the scale efficiency are at medium level; In the period of 2005-2014, the social development efficiency of the Bohai Rim region has been decreasing year by year, and the average Malmquist efficiency index is 0.819; (3) In terms of the utilization efficiency of the resources, the resource utilization efficiency of the Bohai Sea region in 2014 is 0.736 and is at a lower level, indicating that the resource waste is more serious, The resource allocation is not reasonable; in 2005-2014, the utilization efficiency of the resources in the Bohai area shows the change of the first-rise and the Malmquist efficiency index is 0.9669; (4) In terms of the environmental protection efficiency, the environmental protection efficiency of the Bohai area in 2014 is 0. 637, which is at a lower level. In 2005-2014, the environmental protection efficiency of the Bohai area showed a change of first-rise and the Malmquist efficiency index was 1,036; (5) In terms of the overall development efficiency, the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai area in 2014 was 0. 667, at a lower level. Only two cities have achieved the best efficiency. In 2005-2014, the overall factor productivity index of the overall development efficiency of the Bohai area is 0.936, less than 1, and the overall development efficiency of only three cities is in a rising state. The structure and mode of integrated development efficiency in the Bohai area are at an unreasonable stage of development. The results of the evaluation on the spatial difference of the development efficiency of the study area show that the urban distribution with the optimal comprehensive efficiency of the Bohai area in the period of 2005-2014 is very small, and the urban distribution of the comprehensive development efficiency is always located in the northeast of Liaoning Province and the individual cities in Shandong Province. The general development efficiency of the more developed cities has not reached a high level, which indicates that with the process of social development, although the development of the urban social economy is accelerated, the importance of the development efficiency of the region is ignored, and the normal development of the city is hindered. The urban development is not balanced, the utilization of resource elements is not reasonable, and the development of the city is in a bad environment. By using the method, the index and the graphic analysis, the influence factors of the comprehensive development efficiency of the Bohai area are compared, and the reasonable distribution of the economic development, the social progress, the resource utilization and the environmental protection elements has a catalytic effect on the improvement of the comprehensive development efficiency, The regional development should change the way of economic development while focusing on the improvement of the comprehensive efficiency, pay attention to the social progress, build the resource-saving society, increase the investment of the environmental protection elements, and reasonably plan the urban development. In the end, the results of the analysis and evaluation on the development efficiency of the cities in the Bohai area are summarized, and the measures and suggestions for improving the regional development efficiency are put forward from the aspects of industrial layout, balanced development and urban function, aiming at the cities with different development efficiency types. in ord to promote that harmonious and healthy development of the cities.
【学位授予单位】：山东师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127
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