注入与漏出:典型中等收入国家的经济循环与增长——兼论西方经济增长理论在发展中国家的适用性

发布时间：2019-03-11 16:45

【摘要】：西方主流经济增长理论在指导发展中国家的经济发展中显然没有像指导发达国家那样成功,中等收入国家普遍陷入了"中等收入陷阱"。典型中等收入国家在经济腾飞阶段依靠外部注入快速实现了工业化,但由于未能培育出具备自生能力的国民企业体系和成熟的本土资本市场,其经济体构造先天性存在缺陷,进而使其国民经济循环存在三种经济漏出,即国际漏出、政府漏出和寡头(分利集团)漏出,而无论是外部注入和还是内部注入的作用都被这三种经济漏出抵消了,并导致西方经济增长理论所提供的促进经济增长政策失效。堵塞中等收入国家经济循环漏洞的关键是培育健康的国民企业和建设维护本土资本市场,进而构造健全的经济体。从长远角度看,突破中等收入陷阱需要"政府—市场—社会"三元协调发展,流体力学和国民经济循环的"注入—漏出"机制也为经济增长理论的创新和发展提供了新的视角。
[Abstract]:Western mainstream economic growth theory in guiding the economic development of developing countries is obviously not as successful as the developed countries, middle-income countries generally fall into the "middle-income trap". Typical middle-income countries have achieved rapid industrialization through external injection during the period of economic take-off, but their economies have congenital defects due to their failure to foster a self-sustaining national enterprise system and mature indigenous capital markets. Then there are three kinds of economic leakage in its national economic circulation, namely, international leakage, government leakage and oligarch (profit-sharing group) leakage, and the effects of both external and internal injection are offset by these three economic leaks. And causes the western economic growth theory to provide the promotion economic growth policy invalidation. The key to plug the loopholes in middle-income economies is to foster healthy national enterprises and build and maintain local capital markets to build sound economies. From a long-term point of view, breaking through the middle-income trap requires the coordinated development of "government-market-society", and the "injection-leak" mechanism of hydrodynamics and national economic circulation also provides a new perspective for the innovation and development of economic growth theory.
【作者单位】：哈尔滨工业大学(深圳)经济管理学院;中国人民大学经济学院;
【基金】：深圳学派建设丛书资助项目(ND-2016-00373)
【分类号】：F112.1

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