吉林省金融发展与经济增长关系研究
发布时间：2019-03-24 10:55
【摘要】：由2007年美国次贷危机引起的全球性金融危机一波未平,欧洲债务危机一波又起,这使得对世界经济二次探底的担忧始终未能消除,也使得人们需要重新审视经济增长与金融发展的关系。国外学者对该领域的研究起步较早,理论研究趋于完善,实证成果较为丰富。国内学者结合我国实际数据进行实证研究的比较多,且大多集中在国家层面和发达省份的层面上。 近年来,吉林省经济和金融增长速度较快,但起步晚、基础较差,整体发展较为滞后。由此考虑选择将吉林省作为研究对象,以期对今后发展提出建议更具现实意义。本文现从理论方面,分析吉林省金融发展与经济增长之间的影响关系。通过收集吉林省金融和经济发展的实际数据,对其进行趋势分析,总结发展的特点,归纳制约发展的因素和问题。另一方面,从实证角度,选取经济增长、金融业整体、银行业、保险业、证券业等相应指标,利用VAR模型描述吉林省金融发展与经济增长之间的影响关系。Granger因果关系检验分析指标间的因果关系,利用脉冲响应函数表达指标受到冲击时对整个系统的影响,用方差分解定量分析指标对经济增长的贡献度。结合两方面结论,从促进金融创新、提高金融体系市场化程度、促进省内金融机构均衡分布等角度提出建议,希望通过推动吉林省的金融发展能对经济增长做出更大的贡献。
[Abstract]:The global financial crisis caused by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2007 and the debt crisis in Europe have risen again and again, which has made it impossible to allay concerns about the secondary bottoming out of the world economy. It also makes it necessary to re-examine the relationship between economic growth and financial development. Foreign scholars started early in this field, the theoretical research tends to perfect, and the empirical results are more abundant. There are many empirical studies based on the actual data in China, and most of them focus on the national level and the developed provinces. In recent years, Jilin Province's economic and financial growth rate is relatively fast, but the start is late, the foundation is poor, and the overall development lags behind. So it is important to choose Jilin Province as the research object in order to put forward some suggestions for the future development. In this paper, the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Jilin Province is analyzed theoretically. By collecting the actual data of financial and economic development in Jilin Province, this paper analyzes the trend, summarizes the characteristics of development, and sums up the factors and problems that restrict the development of Jilin Province. On the other hand, from an empirical point of view, select economic growth, financial sector as a whole, banking, insurance, securities and other relevant indicators, The VAR model is used to describe the influence relationship between financial development and economic growth in Jilin Province. Granger causality test is used to analyze the causal relationship between the indicators and the impulse response function is used to express the impact on the whole system when the indexes are impacted. Variance decomposition was used to quantitatively analyze the contribution of indicators to economic growth. Combined with two conclusions, this paper puts forward some suggestions from the angles of promoting financial innovation, improving the degree of marketization of financial system and promoting the balanced distribution of financial institutions in the province, hoping that the financial development of Jilin Province can make a greater contribution to the economic growth through promoting the financial development of Jilin Province.
【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F832.7
本文编号：2446260
[Abstract]:The global financial crisis caused by the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2007 and the debt crisis in Europe have risen again and again, which has made it impossible to allay concerns about the secondary bottoming out of the world economy. It also makes it necessary to re-examine the relationship between economic growth and financial development. Foreign scholars started early in this field, the theoretical research tends to perfect, and the empirical results are more abundant. There are many empirical studies based on the actual data in China, and most of them focus on the national level and the developed provinces. In recent years, Jilin Province's economic and financial growth rate is relatively fast, but the start is late, the foundation is poor, and the overall development lags behind. So it is important to choose Jilin Province as the research object in order to put forward some suggestions for the future development. In this paper, the relationship between financial development and economic growth in Jilin Province is analyzed theoretically. By collecting the actual data of financial and economic development in Jilin Province, this paper analyzes the trend, summarizes the characteristics of development, and sums up the factors and problems that restrict the development of Jilin Province. On the other hand, from an empirical point of view, select economic growth, financial sector as a whole, banking, insurance, securities and other relevant indicators, The VAR model is used to describe the influence relationship between financial development and economic growth in Jilin Province. Granger causality test is used to analyze the causal relationship between the indicators and the impulse response function is used to express the impact on the whole system when the indexes are impacted. Variance decomposition was used to quantitatively analyze the contribution of indicators to economic growth. Combined with two conclusions, this paper puts forward some suggestions from the angles of promoting financial innovation, improving the degree of marketization of financial system and promoting the balanced distribution of financial institutions in the province, hoping that the financial development of Jilin Province can make a greater contribution to the economic growth through promoting the financial development of Jilin Province.
【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F832.7
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前2条
1 陈文夏;;金融发展理论脉络和现实思考[J];生产力研究;2010年02期
2 史永东,武志,甄红线;我国金融发展与经济增长关系的实证分析[J];预测;2003年04期
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