四川
发布时间：2019-04-01 10:18
【摘要】：党的十八大报告指出,工业化、城镇化、农业现代化和信息化协调发展是实现我国“两个百年”目标的必要手段。从目前信息化建设尚处于起步阶段的现实来看,实现工业化、城镇化与农业现代化的协调发展是达到“四化”同步发展的基础。故本文将“三化”协同发展作为研究的切入点,以四川省为例,探讨新型工业化、城镇化与农业现代化之间的互动关系以及“三化”各子系统内部与两两系统之间发展的协调程度,以期丰富相关理论和指导实践建设。在理清“三化”发展理论关系后,本文对新型“三化”发展阶段进行划分。简单的统计分析表明,目前四川省新型工业化、城镇化和农业现代化存在发展不协调的情况。因此本论文在科学构建新型“三化”发展指标体系的基础上,运用层次分析和主成分分析方法得到四川省2001-2015年“三化”综合发展水平,并由此构建VAR向量自回归模型分析我省新型“三化”的互动发展关系。而后,利用协同学理论的衍生方法,测算出“三化”各子系统内部和子系统之间的发展协调度。四川省新型“三化”互动关系研究显示,三者之间互相牵制,作用力度和方向各不相同,但最终都呈现出对彼此之间趋于稳定的正向冲击,但是三者之间的发展仍然存在着互动欠缺、融合不足、协调不力等问题。发展协调水平研究表明:从子系统内部协调度来看,2001-2015年间农业现代化系统内部发展具有不稳定性且协调程度最差,新型城镇化和新型工业化发展的协调性基本都呈现倒“V”走势。从两两子系统间协调度来看,新型工业化与新型城镇化、新型工业化与农业现代化、新型城镇化与农业现代化之间的协调度水平都不高且呈现出协调度不稳定的特性。基于上述研究分析结果,本文对促进四川省新型“三化”协调发展提出有益建议。四川省新型“三化”发展从不协调走向协调的过程中,需要在可持续发展的理念下推进经济结构和经济发展方式的转变,需要重点突出推动农业现代化发展,实施工业反哺农业、产城融合发展等发展战略,并且要加快信息化的建设进程,使其在新型“三化”协调发展中更好发挥平台支撑作用。
[Abstract]:The report of the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China points out that industrialization, urbanization, agricultural modernization and information-based coordinated development are the necessary means to achieve the goal of "two hundred years" in China. In view of the fact that the information construction is still in its infancy, the realization of industrialization, the coordinated development of urbanization and agricultural modernization are the basis for the simultaneous development of the "four modernizations". Therefore, this paper takes the coordinated development of "three modernizations" as the starting point of the research, taking Sichuan Province as an example to discuss the new industrialization. The interactive relationship between urbanization and agricultural modernization as well as the coordination degree of the development between each subsystem and the two systems in order to enrich the relevant theory and guide the construction of practice. After clarifying the theoretical relationship of the development of "three transformation", this paper divides the development stage of the new type of "three transformation". The simple statistical analysis shows that the development of new industrialization, urbanization and agricultural modernization in Sichuan Province is not coordinated. Therefore, based on the scientific construction of a new type of "three chemical" development index system, this paper uses the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and principal component analysis (PCA) to obtain the comprehensive development level of "three transformation" in Sichuan province from 2001 to 2015. Based on this, the VAR vector autoregressive model is constructed to analyze the interactive development relationship of the new type of "three transformations" in our province. Then, using the derived method of Synergetics theory, the development coordination degree of each subsystem of "three transformation" is calculated. The research on the interactive relationship of the new "three modernizations" in Sichuan Province shows that they contain each other and have different effects and directions, but in the end they all show a positive impact on each other, which tends to be stable. However, there are still some problems in the development of the three, such as the lack of interaction, the lack of integration, the lack of coordination and so on. The research on the level of development coordination shows that the internal development of agricultural modernization system in 2001-2015 is unstable and the coordination degree is the worst from the point of view of the internal coordination degree of the sub-system. The coordination of new-type urbanization and new-type industrialization basically shows the trend of "V". From the point of view of coordination degree between two subsystems, the coordination degree between new industrialization and new urbanization, new industrialization and agricultural modernization, new urbanization and agricultural modernization is not high and the coordination degree is unstable. Based on the above-mentioned research results, this paper puts forward some useful suggestions to promote the coordinated development of the new "three modernizations" in Sichuan Province. In the process of the development of the new type of "three transformation" in Sichuan Province, it is necessary to promote the transformation of economic structure and mode of economic development under the concept of sustainable development, and it is necessary to focus on promoting the development of agricultural modernization. It is necessary to implement the development strategies such as industry feeding agriculture, the integration and development of production cities and so on, and to speed up the process of information construction so that it can play a better role as a platform support in the coordinated development of the new type of "three modernizations".
【学位授予单位】：成都理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127
[Abstract]:The report of the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China points out that industrialization, urbanization, agricultural modernization and information-based coordinated development are the necessary means to achieve the goal of "two hundred years" in China. In view of the fact that the information construction is still in its infancy, the realization of industrialization, the coordinated development of urbanization and agricultural modernization are the basis for the simultaneous development of the "four modernizations". Therefore, this paper takes the coordinated development of "three modernizations" as the starting point of the research, taking Sichuan Province as an example to discuss the new industrialization. The interactive relationship between urbanization and agricultural modernization as well as the coordination degree of the development between each subsystem and the two systems in order to enrich the relevant theory and guide the construction of practice. After clarifying the theoretical relationship of the development of "three transformation", this paper divides the development stage of the new type of "three transformation". The simple statistical analysis shows that the development of new industrialization, urbanization and agricultural modernization in Sichuan Province is not coordinated. Therefore, based on the scientific construction of a new type of "three chemical" development index system, this paper uses the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and principal component analysis (PCA) to obtain the comprehensive development level of "three transformation" in Sichuan province from 2001 to 2015. Based on this, the VAR vector autoregressive model is constructed to analyze the interactive development relationship of the new type of "three transformations" in our province. Then, using the derived method of Synergetics theory, the development coordination degree of each subsystem of "three transformation" is calculated. The research on the interactive relationship of the new "three modernizations" in Sichuan Province shows that they contain each other and have different effects and directions, but in the end they all show a positive impact on each other, which tends to be stable. However, there are still some problems in the development of the three, such as the lack of interaction, the lack of integration, the lack of coordination and so on. The research on the level of development coordination shows that the internal development of agricultural modernization system in 2001-2015 is unstable and the coordination degree is the worst from the point of view of the internal coordination degree of the sub-system. The coordination of new-type urbanization and new-type industrialization basically shows the trend of "V". From the point of view of coordination degree between two subsystems, the coordination degree between new industrialization and new urbanization, new industrialization and agricultural modernization, new urbanization and agricultural modernization is not high and the coordination degree is unstable. Based on the above-mentioned research results, this paper puts forward some useful suggestions to promote the coordinated development of the new "three modernizations" in Sichuan Province. In the process of the development of the new type of "three transformation" in Sichuan Province, it is necessary to promote the transformation of economic structure and mode of economic development under the concept of sustainable development, and it is necessary to focus on promoting the development of agricultural modernization. It is necessary to implement the development strategies such as industry feeding agriculture, the integration and development of production cities and so on, and to speed up the process of information construction so that it can play a better role as a platform support in the coordinated development of the new type of "three modernizations".
【学位授予单位】：成都理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前10条
1 章晶;;工业化、城镇化、农业现代化互动发展研究——以贵州省为例[J];工业经济论坛;2016年02期
2 贺，
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