坦桑尼亚利用外商直接投资对经济增长的影响研究

发布时间：2021-03-03 12:55

　　本文运用1995-2015年国际组织、世界银行（世界银行发展指数）的时间序列数据和多元回归模型,分析了坦桑尼亚利用外商直接投资对其经济增长的影响。统计分析的结果表明:利用FDI对经济增长有显著的正向影响,这与有关研究发展中国家的文献特别是研究撒哈拉沙漠以南非洲国家的文献相一致。基于多元回归模型,坦桑尼亚利用FDI对其经济增长的作用为:利用FDI每增长1%,经济增长0.337%。根据多元回归计量模型,该结果证实利用外资是促进经济增长的最重要因素,其次是出口,最后是政府支出。事实上,导致坦桑尼亚利用FDI波动的因素主要有五个:商品价格疲软、天气条件恶劣、石油天然气行业业绩不佳、道路和通讯等基础设施不好、以及对投资者不利的政府政策。在分析过程中,对该国经济增长具有显著作用的还有其他变量。例如,出口在1%显著性水平上对坦桑尼亚经济增长具有显著正向作用,其作用大小为:出口每增加1%,导致GDP增长0.328%。政府支出在10%显著性水平上对坦桑尼亚经济增长也具有显著正向作用,其作用大小为:政府支出每增加1%,导致GDP增长0.244%。这些结果表明FDI是坦桑尼亚经济增长的最主要源泉,经济增长的... 

【文章来源】：江西财经大学江西省

【文章页数】：82 页

【学位级别】：硕士

【文章目录】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ABSTRACT
摘要
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION
    1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY
    1.2 OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY
    1.3 RESEARCH QUESTIONS
    1.4 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
    1.5 THESIS ORGANIZATION STRUCTURE
    1.6 CONTRIBUTION AND LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY
CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW
    2.1 THEORETICAL REVIEW REGARDING THE EFFECTS OF INWARD FDI ON ECONOMIC GROWTH
        2.1.1 The Theory linking FDI and Economic Growth
        2.1.2 The Theory linking between technology creation and Growth
        2.1.3 Neoclassical Theory
        2.1.4 The Theory linking Government Spending and Economic Growth
        2.1.5 Production Cycle Theory
    2.2 EMPIRICAL REVIEW REGARDING THE EFFECTS OF INWARD FDI ON ECONOMIC GROWTH
    2.3 SUMMARY OF THE LITERATURE REVIEW
CHAPTER THREE: THE OVER VIEW AND THE EFFECTS OF INWARD FDI ONECONOMIC GROWTH IN TANZANIA
    3.1 OVERVIEW AND THE EFFECTS OF INWARD FDI IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
        3.1.1 Multinational Enterprises （MNEs） and inward FDI
        3.1.2 Motives of expansion FDI
        3.1.3 Foreign Direct Investment and its Relevance
        3.1.4 Benefits of inward FDI for Developing host countries
        3.1.5 Costs of FDI for Developing host countries
    3.2 OVERVIEW OF THE FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN TANZANIA
    3.3 THE EFFECTS OF INWARD FDI IN TANZANIA
        3.3.1 Effects of inward FDI on Agricultural sector
        3.3.2 Effects of inward FDI on Industrial sector
        3.3.3 Effects of inward FDI on Service sector
        3.3.4 Effects of inward FDI on Mining sector
    3.4 THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FDI AND TRADE IN TANZANIA
CHAPTER FOUR: EMPIRICAL RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
    4.1 METHODOLOGY
        4.1.1 Conceptual framework and empirical methodology
        4.1.2 Data type and sources
        4.1.3 Theoretical models
    4.2 DESCRIPTIONS OF THE VARIABLES AND HYPOTHESIS
        4.2.1 Foreign Direct Investment
        4.2.2 Government Spending
        4.2.3 Export
        4.2.4 Import
        4.2.5 Hypothesis
        4.2.6 Variables and measurements
    4.3 ANALYSIS OF THE RESULTS
        4.3.1 Empirical models
        4.3.2 Descriptive Analysis
        4.3.3 The extent to which how FDI influence and contribute the change of GDP in Tanzania
        4.3.4 Empirical results of the models
        4.3.5 Results Discussions
        4.3.6 Summary of the results
CHAPTER FIVE: CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
    5.1 CONCLUSION
    5.2 RECOMMENDATIONS
    5.3 FUTURE RESEARCH
REFERENCES
APPENDICES



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