文化产业对山东省经济增长影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-02-16 04:58

  本文关键词： 文化产业 投入产出分析 经济增长 支柱产业　出处：《山东大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着信息技术的发展和经济全球化进程的不断加快,文化与科技、经济相融合,促使文化产业的发展潜力逐渐突显出来。对于国际竞争而言,文化产业作为一种软实力能够促进综合国力和区域竞争力的提升；对于一个社会而言,文化产业能够增强社会凝聚力,并且在转变经济增长方式、促进产业升级和增加就业方面也发挥着重要的作用。山东省拥有丰富的文化资源,但是如何正确认识到文化产业对于地区经济发展的重要作用,并充分利用这一资源更好地促进山东省经济的发展,是需要我们认真研究的课题。 本文首先明确了文化产业的概念,认定文化及相关产业是指为社会公众提供文化产品和文化相关产品的生产活动的集合,并基于此概念将文化及相关产业分为文化制造业和文化服务业；然后从直接和间接两个角度阐述了文化产业对国民经济的贡献,认为文化产业能够增加GDP、扩大就业、提升人力资本、提高劳动生产率、优化经济制度以及产业结构、增强产业关联。 为了使本文的理论阐述更有说服力,本文尝试从实证的角度来论证。首先,从产业关联的角度,运用投入产出法,通过对相关指标的计算,从文化产业的依存度、关联效应、波及效应以及生产诱发作用四个方面分析了文化产业对山东省经济发展的作用。结果表明,山东省文化产业与许多产业存在着密切的前向或者后向的投入产出关系,并且相比于地区经济对文化产业的带动作用,其对地区经济的助推作用更为显著。其次,从时间序列的角度,本文运用协整检验、格兰杰因果检验、脉冲响应分析研究了山东省地区生产总值与文化产业投资的关系,最终的结果显示,山东省文化产业投资对GDP具有一定的正向促进作用,且有一定持久性,但是贡献还很有限,说明山东省文化产业的发展还有很大的上升空间。 最后,在上述研究的基础上,本文就制定文化产业发展规划、充分发挥产业关联效应、着重提高文化产业消费、进口、投资以及加强文化产业专业人才培养等方面有针对性的提出了若干建议。
[Abstract]:With the development of information technology and the accelerating process of economic globalization, the integration of culture, science and technology and economy has made the development potential of cultural industry increasingly prominent. As a kind of soft power, cultural industry can promote the promotion of comprehensive national strength and regional competitiveness. For a society, cultural industry can enhance social cohesion and change the mode of economic growth. Promoting industrial upgrading and increasing employment also play an important role. Shandong Province has abundant cultural resources, but how to correctly recognize the important role of cultural industries in regional economic development, And make full use of this resource to promote the economic development of Shandong Province, which needs our careful study. In this paper, the concept of cultural industry is defined as a collection of production activities that provide cultural products and culture-related products to the public. Based on this concept, culture and related industries are divided into cultural manufacturing industry and cultural service industry, and then the contribution of cultural industry to national economy is expounded from both direct and indirect angles, and it is concluded that cultural industry can increase GDPs and expand employment. Improve human capital, improve labor productivity, optimize economic system and industrial structure, and enhance industrial linkages. In order to make the theoretical exposition of this paper more convincing, this paper tries to prove from the perspective of demonstration. Firstly, from the angle of industrial association, using input-output method, through the calculation of relevant indicators, from the cultural industry dependence, relevance effect. The effects of cultural industry on the economic development of Shandong Province are analyzed from four aspects: the ripple effect and the production inducement. The results show that there are close forward or backward input-output relationships between cultural industry and many industries in Shandong Province. And compared with the regional economy to the cultural industry, its role in promoting the regional economy is more significant. Secondly, from the point of view of time series, this paper uses co-integration test, Granger causality test, The relationship between GDP and cultural industry investment in Shandong Province is studied by impulse response analysis. The final results show that Shandong cultural industry investment has a certain positive effect on GDP, and has a certain persistence, but the contribution is very limited. It shows that the development of cultural industry in Shandong Province still has a lot of room to rise. Finally, on the basis of the above research, this paper formulates the cultural industry development plan, fully exerts the industry correlation effect, emphatically enhances the cultural industry consumption, imports, Some suggestions are put forward in the aspects of investment and strengthening the cultivation of professionals in cultural industry.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：G124;F124.1
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本文编号：1514714