中国对RCEP国家创意产品出口的影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-06-14 18:55

本文选题：创意产品出口 + RCEP　；参考：《东北财经大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：创意经济随着发达国家向知识经济形态转型,在世界范围内兴起,创意产品贸易成为转变发展方式和提升国家竞争力的重要手段,中国也越来越重视创意经济的发展。据UUNCTAD数据显示,2012年中国创意产品进出口贸易总额达1653.78亿美元,其中对外出口总额1511.82亿美元,占世界创意产品出口总额的31.9%,年均增长率16.5%,远高于中国GDP年增长率,可见,中国已经是创意产品出口大国。但是笔者发现,中国创意产品出口市场比较集中,出口对象以欧美发达经济体为主,而对发展中国家出口较少,想要走向世界,就必须积极拓展国际市场。随着世界各国越来越注重区域间合作,我国对外贸易发展也在朝区域经济一体化方向迈进。其中,正在谈判的RCEP,全称为Regiona1 Comprehensive Economic Partnership,即区域全面经济伙伴关系协定,将推进此区域经济一体化进程,优势互补,推动地区经济的发展,为新形势下区域经济发展提供新方向,为扩大我国对该区域内国家创意产品的出口提供有利条件。数据显示,2012年中国对RCEP国家创意产品出口额占总出口额的17.4%,低于北美和欧盟的26.7%和18.6%,但在2003-2012年呈现明显上涨趋势,中国对RCEP国家创意产品出口额的年均增长率高于对外出口总额的年平均增长率,说明中国对该区域创意产品的出口存在很大潜力。全球化背景下,我国处于经济转型与产业结构升级的重要时期,在现今知识经济的现状下,中国的发展正面临新的机遇与挑战,只有有针对性地维护和开发贸易合作伙伴,不断加强对知识产权的保护,才能使我国创意产业在全球产业结构调整中谋得更好的分工位置,具备更强的国际竞争力。本文主要采用以下两种方法进行研究。第一,定量分析与定性分析相结合。使用数据和图表阐述我国出口给RCEP国家创意商品的情况,并从出口的规模、市场结构和产品结构方面定性分析了中国对这些国家创意商品出口存在的问题:第二,理论分析与实证研究相结合。在参考相关文献中提到的可能影响创意产品出口的因素及RCEP实际情况的基础上,运用引力模型,筛选出我国在RCEP区域销售创意商品量较多的十二个国家,以2003-2012年中国对其创意产品出口额作因变量,根据前文得到的可能会影响我国创意产品出口的因素,选取相应指标作自变量,建立回归方程进行实证研究,并进行解释说明,根据研究结果提出对策建议。本文共分为以下六个章节:第1章是绪论。简要阐述本篇论文的选题背景、影响、研究方法与主要内容等,概述了创意商品的定义与类别,简单说明我国创意商品交易的情况,区域经济一体化在RCEP国家间的贸易效应和创意产品贸易影响因素的研究成果,为之后的研究提供文献参考,并指出文章的创新点与不足之处。第2章为相关理论。本章概述了与研究相关的经济学理论,为本文提供理论支撑。第3章为现状分析。在分析中国对RCEP国家创意产品的出口规模、市场分布与商品结构的基础上,发现中国对这些国家创意产品的出口存在市场集中、产品结构失衡且附加值低等问题;比较分析中国与RCEP成员创意产品的贸易竞争力指数,得出虽然中国创意产业整体的贸易竞争力较强,但技术和知识要素密集型创意产品的竞争力相对低下,主要依靠设计类和工艺品类两种劳动密集型产品拉动出口的结论。第4章为理论分析。从政治、经济、社会、地理和文化五个层面分析了可能影响中国对RCEP国家创意产品出口的因素,为后文的实证分析提供逻辑基础。第5章为实证分析。在理论分析的基础上,建立拓展的引力模型,选取2003-2012年中国对RCEP国家出口创意产品的面板数据进行实证检验。结果表明,中国与进口国经济发展水平、互联网用户数、贸易安排现状以及我国对知识产权的维护程度,对创意商品的外销有重要积极意义;中国与进口国的地理距离、文化距离和市场规模具有阻碍作用。第6章为主要结论和对策建议。结合RCEP的谈判背景,为促进中国对该区域创意产品的出口,文章基于实证分析结论,从不同角度提出促进中国对RCEP国家创意产品出口的可行的对策建议。
[Abstract]:With the transformation of the developed countries into the form of knowledge economy and the rise of the world, creative product trade has become an important means of changing the way of development and promoting the competitiveness of the country. China has also paid more and more attention to the development of creative economy. According to UUNCTAD data, the total import and export trade of creative products in China reached 165 billion 378 million US dollars in 2012. The total foreign exports are $151 billion 182 million, accounting for 31.9% of the total export of creative products in the world, with an average annual growth rate of 16.5%, far higher than the growth rate of China's GDP years. It can be seen that China is already a big exporter of creative products. As the countries of the exhibition are less exported and want to go to the world, we must actively expand the international market. With the increasing emphasis on interregional cooperation among the countries of the world, the development of China's foreign trade is also moving towards regional economic integration. The RCEP, which is being negotiated, is called the Regiona1 Comprehensive Economic Partnership, that is, the regional comprehensive economic gang. The partnership agreement will promote the regional economic integration process, complement each other, promote regional economic development, provide new direction for regional economic development under the new situation, and provide favorable conditions for expanding the export of national creative products in the region. The data show that the total export amount of the RCEP national creative products in China in 2012 accounted for the total export volume. 17.4%, lower than 26.7% and 18.6% of North America and European Union, but in 2003-2012 years, the average annual growth rate of China's export of RCEP creative products is higher than the average annual growth rate of foreign exports, indicating that China has great potential for the export of creative products in the region. In the important period of upgrading the structure and industrial structure, China's development is facing new opportunities and challenges under the present situation of knowledge economy. Only by maintaining and developing trade partners and constantly strengthening the protection of intellectual property, can our creative industry make a better division of labor in the adjustment of the whole ball industry structure. This article mainly uses the following two methods to study. Firstly, the quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis are combined. The data and charts are used to explain the situation of our country's export to RCEP countries' creative goods, and from the scale of export, the market structure and the product structure, we qualitatively analyze the Chinese creative businessmen. Second, second, combining the theoretical analysis with the empirical research. On the basis of the factors that may affect the export of creative products and the actual situation mentioned in the related literature, we use the gravitational model to screen out twelve countries with more creative goods in China in the RCEP region, with 2003-2012 years' creativity in China. According to the factors that may affect the export of creative products in our country, the export volume of the product can affect the export of our creative products, select the corresponding indexes as independent variables, establish the regression equation for empirical research, and explain the results according to the results of the study. This article is divided into the following six chapters: the first chapter is the introduction. This paper briefly expounds the theory of this article. The background, influence, research method and main content of the article are summarized, the definition and category of creative goods are summarized, the situation of creative commodity trading in China, the trade effect of regional economic integration in RCEP countries and the influence factors of creative product trade are studied, and the literature reference is provided for the later research, and the article is pointed out. The second chapter is the related theory. This chapter summarizes the economic theory related to the research and provides theoretical support for this article. The third chapter is the analysis of the current situation. On the basis of the analysis of the export scale, market distribution and commodity structure of China's creative products in RCEP countries, the export of creative products in these countries is present in China. The market concentration, the imbalance of product structure and low value-added problems; compare and analyze the trade competitiveness index of creative products of China and RCEP members. It is concluded that although the overall competitiveness of Chinese creative industries is strong, the competitiveness of creative products with intensive technology and knowledge elements is low, mainly relying on two kinds of design and handicraft categories. The fourth chapter is a theoretical analysis. From the political, economic, social, geographical and cultural levels, we analyze the factors that may affect the export of creative products to RCEP countries from five levels, and provide a logical basis for the empirical analysis of the latter. The fifth chapter is an empirical analysis. On the basis of theoretical analysis, an extended citation is established. The force model selected the panel data of the export creative products of RCEP countries for 2003-2012 years. The results show that the economic development level of China and the importing countries, the number of Internet users, the status of trade arrangements and the maintenance of intellectual property in China have important positive significance for the export of creative goods; China and the importing country The sixth chapter is the main conclusion and the countermeasures and suggestions. The sixth chapter is the main conclusion and the countermeasures and suggestions. In order to promote the export of creative products in the region, the article, based on the empirical analysis, puts forward the feasible countermeasures and suggestions to promote the export of creative products of RCEP countries from different angles.
【学位授予单位】：东北财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：G124;F752.62

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