外汇交易技术及心理问题研究

发布时间：2018-01-12 14:26

本文关键词：外汇交易技术及心理问题研究　出处：《华北电力大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着我国金融市场的逐步开放,外汇、期货市场逐渐成为广大投资者的主要投资领域。但是,由于这是一个新兴市场,交易环境、交易理念、交易技术的研究和普及不够,一些投资者在这个市场当中付出了巨大的代价,包括由于不了解规则、技术造成的巨额亏损,也包括钻入一些人利用市场初期混乱状态设置的诈骗圈套。本文作者2012年初次接触这个行业,就由于对市场所知甚少,被一个诈骗集团以高额回报的利益所惑,被骗300万人民币。痛定思痛,作者决心对这个市场进行深入的研究,通过研究和实践力求看透市场真相、找到稳定盈利的方法,也期望通过研究和实践,为投资者提供经验教训,帮助广大投资者更好地了解外汇、期货市场,少走弯路,尽快实现稳定盈利。本文首先分析了国内外外汇、期货投资理论研究状况,以及国内外汇投资的情况,通过与股票等其他方式的对比,帮助投资者认识到外汇交易的优势,同时提醒投资者规避和防控投资中的风险。在正确认识外汇交易市场的基础上,探讨研究具体的交易方法,以道氏理论为基础,运用拐点线、分界点A等定义,设计了交易模型,并对交易模型进行了推演。在推演中,以10000美金的初始资金,经过1个月的连续交易,最终得到近9倍的收益绩效,验证了交易模型的有效性。科学的交易模型是基础,专业的交易心理是保障。本文提出了失败投资者的两个显著心理状态,并结合作者实际交易过程中的两种心态变化对交易绩效的影响,证明交易心理在交易中的重要性。作者客观提出,任何交易模型都会有缺陷,不可能实现100%的准确率,追求完美的心态只能导致交易的不断亏损,文中用公式证明只要保持65%的准确率、3：1的盈亏比,就可以实现盈利是亏损5.6倍的交易绩效,帮助投资者认识到交易是由盈利和亏损构成的,从而保持正确的心态,按照不变的交易策略追随趋势、客观交易。针对我国金融市场不断开放的环境和背景,本文还对金融领域的创业空间和可能性进行探讨。
[Abstract]:With the gradual opening of China's financial market, the foreign exchange and futures markets have gradually become the main investment field of the majority of investors. However, because this is a new market, trading environment, trading philosophy. Trading technology is not enough research and popularization, some investors in this market has paid a huge price, including the lack of understanding of the rules, technology caused by huge losses. It also includes drilling into a scam set by some people to take advantage of the market's initial chaos. The writer first came into the industry in 2012 because he knew little about the market. Bewildered by a fraud syndicate with high returns, and deceived by 3 million yuan, the author is determined to study the market in depth and try to see through the market through research and practice. In order to find a way to stabilize profits, we hope to provide investors with experience and lessons through research and practice, so as to help investors better understand foreign exchange, futures market, take less detours, and realize stable profits as soon as possible. This paper first analyzes the domestic and international foreign exchange, futures investment theory research situation, as well as domestic foreign exchange investment situation, through the comparison with other ways, such as stocks, to help investors understand the advantages of foreign exchange trading. At the same time, it reminds investors to avoid and control the risks in investment. On the basis of correct understanding of the foreign exchange trading market, this paper probes into the specific trading methods and uses the definition of inflection line and demarcation point A based on Dow's theory. The transaction model is designed, and the transaction model is deduced. With the initial capital of US $10000, after one month of continuous trading, the final income performance is nearly 9 times. The validity of the transaction model is verified. The scientific trading model is the foundation and the professional trading psychology is the guarantee. This paper puts forward two significant psychological states of the failed investors. Combined with the influence of the two psychological changes in the actual trading process on the transaction performance, the author proves the importance of trading psychology in the transaction. The author puts forward objectively that any trading model will have defects. It is impossible to achieve the accuracy of 100%, the pursuit of perfect mentality can only lead to a continuous loss of transactions, this paper proves that as long as the accuracy of 65% to maintain the accuracy of 3: 1 profit / loss ratio. It can achieve a profit 5.6 times a loss trading performance, help investors realize that the trading is made up of profit and loss, so as to maintain the correct mentality, according to the same trading strategy to follow the trend. Objective transaction. In view of the environment and background of our country's financial market opening continuously, this paper also discusses the space and possibility of the financial field.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F832.5

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