基于二分类Logistic模型的城市居民住房租购选择研究

发布时间：2018-01-28 18:45

本文关键词： 二分类Logistic回归模型住房租赁购买选择炫耀性住房　出处：《经济体制改革》2014年02期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文通过对广州千户住房调查所获得的一手资料,针对目前住房租购现状,在国内外已有文献研究的基础上,确立研究框架并选取相应的自变量,提出研究假设,构建住房租购选择的二分类Logistic模型。模型设置了家庭主要特征、经济成本因素以及住房态度因素3大类共9个测量变量,并对其进行了检验。结果表明:年龄、家庭年收入、房价以及房价租金比是影响居民房屋租购的显著因素,学历、性别、婚姻和住房态度表现不显著。其中,年龄越大和家庭年收入越高,购买住房的倾向较高;房价和房价租金比越高,租房的倾向越高。
[Abstract]:Based on the primary data obtained from the survey of thousands of houses in Guangzhou and the current situation of rental purchase of housing at home and abroad, this paper establishes the research framework and selects the corresponding independent variables on the basis of the domestic and foreign literature. This paper puts forward the research hypothesis and constructs a two-classification Logistic model of housing rental purchase and purchase. The model has nine measurement variables, including the main characteristics of the family, the economic cost factor and the housing attitude factor. The results show that age, annual household income, house price and housing rent ratio are the significant factors affecting the rental purchase of housing, education, sex, marriage and housing attitude are not significant. The older the age and the higher the annual income of the family, the higher the propensity to purchase housing; The higher the ratio of house price to house rent, the higher the tendency of renting.
【作者单位】：北京工业大学经济与管理学院(山东建筑大学管理工程学院);北京工业大学经济与管理学院;
【分类号】：F293.3;F224
【正文快照】： 一、引言房改之前,我国住房资源的分配方式以福利分房为主,几乎没有房地产市场这一概念。从1998~2013年,在这10多年的时间里,中国房地产市场经历了从起步到稳步,到快速发展,再到稳步发展几个阶段,多数城市的房价也经历了从几百元到几千元甚至几万元的历程,而如今房价稳中有升

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