中国住房价格形成机制研究

发布时间：2018-01-29 20:00

本文关键词： 住房价格影响因素形成机制实证分析　出处：《山东大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：自我国于1980年开启住房制度改革以来,中国已经在住房改革的道路上前进了33年。在这33年的过程中,我国的房地产市场经历了从无到有、从小到大的发展过程,至今已成为关乎我国国计民生的重要产业,在我国宏观经济中起着举足轻重的作用。33年来,我国形成了具有一定规模的住房市场,不仅深刻的改变了我国的城市面貌,极大地加速了城市化进程,提高了城市化水平,更是显著地提高了人民的生活水平和居住条件,给人民带来了极大地福利。我国的住房市场改革在取得巨大成就的同时,也逐渐显现出一些问题。由于我国住房市场发展时间短,面临的环境复杂,发展在曲折中前进。自2003年以来,我国的住房市场逐渐暴露出总量失衡、结构失调和价格上涨过快等诸多问题,加上中低收入家庭住房问题日益突出,成为百姓生活和国民经济持续健康发展的一大隐患。在住房市场的诸多问题中,住房价格是表现最直接、矛盾最突出的一个问题。在市场经济条件下,价格是调节供求关系的重要工具,价格机制对供求各方及相关利益主体的行为模式也有重要的调节作用。在这种背景下,对住房价格形成机制进行研究,具有很强的现实意义。考虑到住房价格的影响因素错综复杂,本文在结合国内外学者的经验总结与当前中国的实际情况的基础上,主要选择了土地交易价格、宏观经济水平、居民可支配收入、住房市场相关利率水平、住房市场相关税率水平、住房市场投资或投机水平、保障性住房市场这几个关键因素作为中国住房价格形成过程中的主要影响因素进行分析,研究不同因素从不同方面对中国住房价格产生的不同影响以及各个因素在住房价格形成过程中的作用机制。在分析过程中,针对不同影响因素采取不同计量方法进行实证性检验。本文的目的在于通过对影响住房价格的因素进行逐一定性及定量分析,全面理清当前中国住房市场中价格的主要影响因素,从市场机制的角度分析住房价格的形成机制。在分析的过程中,本文将政府和资本市场加入到了中国住房价格形成机制的分析中去,深度剖析住房价格形成的多层次原因。在分析的过程中,综合运用了面板数据模型、时间序列模型等多种计量模型,同时,运用归纳推理的方法分析住房价格形成机制。同时,在对中国住房价格形成进行一般性分析的基础上,本文还将住房市场细分为商品性住房市场与保障性住房市场两大类别,根据两个市场不同的市场属性对住房价格形成过程进行区分性分析。由于中国目前保障性住房建设存在数量短缺、结构不完善等种种问题,考虑到未来中国在保障性住房建设方面的巨大前景与保障性住房本身对于国计民生的重要作用,对保障性住房价格的影响因素及形成过程进行分析及阐述具有重要的意义。最后,总结全文的内容,提出中国住房价格形成机制的一般性结论,并对当前情况下如何完善我国住房价格形成机制及解决当前住房市场存在的问题提出意见与建议。
[Abstract]:Since China opened in 1980 the housing system reform, housing reform has been in the Chinese forward on the road for 33 years. In these 33 years, China's real estate market has experienced from scratch, from small to large development process, has become an important industry in our country is beneficial to the people's livelihood, in China's macroeconomic plays an important role in.33 years, our country has formed a certain scale of the housing market, not only profoundly changed our appearance of the city, greatly accelerated the city process, improve the level of city, it is remarkably improves people's living standards and living conditions greatly benefits to the people.
China's housing market reform has made great achievements, has shown some problems. Due to the time of the development of China's housing market, facing the complex environment, the development progress in twists and turns. Since 2003, China's housing market gradually exposed the imbalance of the total amount, structure and loss of prices rose too fast many problems, coupled with the housing problems of low-income families have become increasingly prominent, has become a great hidden danger for people living and the sustainable and healthy development of national economy. Many problems in the housing market, the housing price is the most direct, the most prominent problem of a contradiction. Under the condition of market economy, price is an important tool to regulate the relationship between supply and demand the price mechanism, also has an important role in the regulation of the supply and demand of the parties and stakeholders behavior patterns. In this context, the mechanism of the formation of housing price research, has a strong practical significance.
Considering the influence factors of housing price perplexing, based on domestic and foreign scholars summarize the experience of the actual situation and the current China on the main choice of the price of land transactions, the macroeconomic level, the disposable income of residents, the housing market interest rates, housing related tax rate, the housing market investment or speculation, security the key factors of the housing market as the main influencing factors of Chinese housing price formation in the process of analysis, the effects of different factors on housing prices have China from different aspects of the different effects of various factors on housing prices and the formation mechanism of the process. In the process of analysis, according to different affecting factors by different empirical measurement methods test.
The purpose of this paper is to analyze one by one through the qualitative and quantitative factors of the housing price, fully clarify the main factors influencing the price of Chinese in the housing market, analysis of the formation mechanism of housing price from the market mechanism. In the process of analysis, the government and the capital market into the analysis of the formation mechanism of housing price Chinese in depth analysis, multi-level housing price formation. In the process of analysis, the integrated use of the panel data model, time series model and other quantitative models, at the same time, using the method of inductive reasoning and analysis of the housing price formation mechanism.
At the same time, based on the general analysis of the formation of Chinese in housing prices, the housing market will also subdivided into commercial housing market and affordable housing market in two categories, according to the property market to two different market discriminative analysis on housing price formation process. Because China current affordable housing construction has a shortage that structure is not perfect and other problems, considering the future of Chinese in affordable housing construction has great prospects and affordable housing itself plays an important role in the formation and influence factors beneficial to the people's livelihood, the affordable housing price process has important significance analysis and elaboration.
Finally, we summarize the contents of the article, put forward the general conclusion of China's housing price formation mechanism, and put forward suggestions and suggestions on how to improve our housing price formation mechanism and solve the current housing market problems.

【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F299.23

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