保障房对商品住宅的挤出效应:理论与经验研究——基于浙江省11地市面板数据的分析

发布时间：2018-02-16 02:15

本文关键词： 保障房商品住宅挤出效应住房开工量　出处：《学术月刊》2015年07期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：中国大力推进保障房建设的制度实践,引起了理论界的思考和研究。赞成者认为保障房可以改善低收入家庭福利,有利于社会和谐稳定;而持怀疑态度的则认为这一制度对商品住宅市场存在着挤出效应,从而降低住房市场效率。本文在梳理国内外相关文献的基础上,从理论上分析了保障房对商品住宅市场挤出效应的机理,并借鉴了挤出效应分析有影响的数理模型,基于浙江省11个地市2003—2012年面板数据,对保障房究竟在多大程度和范围内具有挤出效应进行了实证分析。实证结果显示,在10%的显著性水平下,嘉兴和台州的挤出效应是显著的;而在5%的显著性水平下,所有地市的挤出效应均不显著,说明浙江省保障性住房对商品住宅市场的挤出效应总体上并不明显。
[Abstract]:The institutional practice of promoting indemnificatory apartment's construction in China has aroused the thinking and research of the theorists. The proponents believe that indemnificatory apartment can improve the welfare of low-income families and is conducive to social harmony and stability. The sceptics believe that this system has an crowding out effect on the commodity housing market, thus reducing the efficiency of the housing market. This paper theoretically analyzes the mechanism of extrusion effect of indemnificatory apartment on commodity housing market, and draws lessons from the mathematical model of extrusion effect analysis, based on panel data of 11 cities in Zhejiang Province from 2003 to 2012. This paper makes an empirical analysis on the extent and scope of the extrusion effect of indemnificatory apartment. The empirical results show that the extrusion effect of Jiaxing and Taizhou is significant at the significant level of 10%, while at the significant level of 5%, the extrusion effect of Jiaxing and Taizhou is significant. The extrusion effect of all prefectures is not significant, which indicates that the extrusion effect of affordable housing on the commodity housing market in Zhejiang Province is not obvious on the whole.
【作者单位】：浙江工业大学经贸管理学院;
【基金】：教育部重大攻关项目“中国城镇住房保障体系及运行机制研究”(13JZD009) 国家自然科学基金项目“中国保障性住房资源配置效率评价及效率提升研究”(71273240)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：F299.23

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