中国区域间资本流动与经济增长差异比较研究

发布时间：2018-02-22 10:16

本文关键词： 资本流动经济增长区域差异 GMM估计　出处：《西南政法大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：伴随着中国市场化进程的不断深化以及国家区域发展战略的调整与转移，中国区域间的资本流动方向、流动规模乃至流动速度都在不断发生着变化。资本流动不仅影响着区域间的经济增长水平，还是造成区域间经济增长差异的重要因素。如何从资本流动的视角下对中国区域间的经济增长差异进行比较研究，如何更好地发挥资本流动在促进区域经济均衡发展的调节作用，这对于逐步缩小地区发展差距，促进中国经济社会的协调、持续、健康发展具有重要的现实意义。本文以中国区域间资本流动对经济增长差异的影响为研究对象。目的在于探讨资本流动与地区间经济增长差异的关联性。首先，本文对资本流动与经济增长的相关理论加以梳理和归纳，然后在简要介绍中国经济区域的划分的基础上分别分析了我国东、中、西部地区资本流动与经济增长的现状及差异性，进而分析了基于资本流动的区域经济增长差异的原因。其次，本文在对资本流动与经济增长相关理论、指标进行比较分析的基础上，建立起较为合理的理论模型及假说，分别运用静态面板数据模型、动态面板数据模型对1996—2010年的中国区域间资本流动与经济增长之间的关系进行实证研究。实证研究发现：中部地区的固定资产投资与该地区的人均GDP水平呈负相关，其可能的原因是中部地区的资本投入更多的表现为对私人投资的“挤出效应”,资本流向更多地表现为非生产领域。而在劳动力方面，西部地区的人口老龄化与其人均GDP水平呈负相关，，其可能的原因是西部地区资本要素在高资本回报率的引导下，将向东、中部地区流动，同时西部地区作为资本流出地也减少了本地区的劳动力适龄人口，不利于劳动生产率的提高。最后，针对结论，提出如下对策建议：优化投资环境，提高资本流动效率；建立区域产业投资基金，支持中西部地区产业发展；坚持因地制宜，促进中西部城镇化建设健康发展；加大对外开放，吸引资金流入；完善政策调整机制，合理引导资本流向。以此提高区域间的资本合理流动效率，推动区域间经济增长差异的缩小，进而实现区域间经济协调、持续增长与发展。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of China's market-oriented process and the adjustment and transfer of national regional development strategy, the direction of capital flow among regions in China, The scale of flow and even the speed of flow are constantly changing. Capital flows not only affect the level of economic growth among regions. How to make a comparative study on the difference of regional economic growth in China from the perspective of capital flow. How to better play the regulating role of capital flow in promoting the balanced development of regional economy, which will gradually narrow the gap of regional development, promote the coordination of China's economy and society, and continue, It is of great practical significance to develop healthily. This paper focuses on the influence of regional capital flow on economic growth difference in China. The purpose of this study is to explore the relationship between capital flow and regional economic growth difference. First of all, this paper sorts out and summarizes the theories of capital flow and economic growth, and then analyzes the east and middle of China on the basis of brief introduction of the division of China's economic regions. The present situation and difference between capital flow and economic growth in the western region are analyzed, and the reasons for the difference in regional economic growth based on capital flow are analyzed. Secondly, on the basis of comparative analysis of the related theories and indicators of capital flow and economic growth, a more reasonable theoretical model and hypothesis are established, and the static panel data model is used respectively. The dynamic panel data model is an empirical study on the relationship between inter-regional capital flows and economic growth in China from 1996 to 2010. The empirical study shows that the fixed asset investment in the central region is negatively correlated with the per capita GDP level in the central region. The possible reason for this is that capital investment in the central region is more manifested as a "crowding out effect" on private investment, and capital flows to non-productive areas, while in the labour sector, The aging of the population in the western region is negatively correlated with the level of GDP per capita. The possible reason is that the capital elements in the western region will flow eastward and centrally under the guidance of the high rate of return on capital. At the same time, as a capital outflow area, the western region also reduces the labor force age population, which is not conducive to the improvement of labor productivity. Finally, in view of the conclusion, the following countermeasures and suggestions are put forward: optimizing the investment environment, improving the efficiency of capital flow, establishing regional industrial investment fund to support the industrial development in the central and western regions, insisting on the measures taken in accordance with local conditions, To promote the healthy development of urbanization in the central and western regions, to open wider to the outside world, to attract capital inflows, to perfect the policy adjustment mechanism, and to rationally guide the capital flow, so as to improve the efficiency of rational capital flow among regions, Promote the narrowing of regional economic growth gap, and then achieve interregional economic coordination, sustained growth and development.
【学位授予单位】：西南政法大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124.1;F832.5

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