呼和浩特地区住宅增量市场预警研究

发布时间：2018-04-02 03:29

本文选题：住宅增量市场　切入点：预警　出处：《内蒙古农业大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：近几年住宅增量市场的大幅波动，已经引起了社会各界的广泛关注。住宅增量市场的产业关联度高，带动力强，其发展状况直接影响建筑市场、建材市场、建筑装潢市场的发展，对整个国民经济的协调发展至关重要，住宅增量市场的非常态波动对国民经济的健康发展有着显著影响，因此对住宅增量市场进行事前预警是十分必要的。本文以经济周期理论和经济预警理论为理论基础，采用综合模拟法建立呼和浩特地区住宅销售市场预警模型，对呼和浩特地区住宅增量市场的运行是否正常进行预警，得出1998-2010年呼和浩特地区住宅增量市场发展的总体情况和未来发展趋势,将模型结果和实际情况对比来验证模型的准确性，最后有针对性的提出对策建议。本研究的目的是为政府调控住宅增量市场提供科学的依据，促进呼和浩特地区住宅增量市场健康持续发展。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the large fluctuations in the incremental housing market have aroused widespread concern from all walks of life.The residential incremental market has a high degree of industrial relevance and strong driving force. Its development directly affects the development of the construction market, the building materials market and the building decoration market, which is of great importance to the coordinated development of the whole national economy.The abnormal fluctuation of the incremental housing market has a significant impact on the healthy development of the national economy, so it is very necessary to give advance warning to the incremental housing market.Based on the economic cycle theory and the economic early warning theory, this paper establishes the early warning model of the housing sales market in Hohhot area by using the comprehensive simulation method, and gives an early warning on whether the incremental housing market in Hohhot area is running normally or not.The general situation and future development trend of the incremental housing market in Hohhot area from 1998 to 2010 are obtained. The model results are compared with the actual situation to verify the accuracy of the model. Finally, the countermeasures and suggestions are put forward.The purpose of this study is to provide a scientific basis for the government to regulate and control the incremental housing market and to promote the healthy and sustainable development of the incremental housing market in Hohhot.
【学位授予单位】：内蒙古农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F299.23

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