中国居民自有住房虚拟租金的一个估算

发布时间：2018-04-26 03:29

本文选题：自有住房 + 虚拟租金　；参考：《统计与信息论坛》2014年05期

【摘要】：居民自有住房服务价值应纳入GDP核算,但各国对自有住房服务虚拟租金的估算方法存在差异,当前主要的核算方法为市场租金法和使用成本法。采用使用成本法对中国居民自有住房虚拟租金重新估算,发现2004—2012年间居民自有住房虚拟租金年均达3.2万亿元,最近三年年均达到4万亿。中国统计部门基于建筑成本估算的虚拟租金大大低估了居民居住支出,2004—2012年间年均低估达2.3万亿元,近三年年均低估达3万亿元。调整后的居住消费占GDP比重达到11%~14%,高于官方6%的统计数据,仅自有住房虚拟租金的重新调整就提高了4%~5%的居民消费率,随着居民收入提高,城市化进程加快,居住消费支出还将增长。
[Abstract]:The service value of owner-owned housing should be included in GDP accounting, but there are differences in the methods of estimating virtual rent of owner-owned housing service in different countries. The main accounting methods are market rent method and use cost method at present. Using the cost method to reestimate the virtual rent of Chinese owner-owned housing, it is found that the virtual rent of owner-owned housing reached 3.2 trillion yuan per year between 2004 and 2012, and reached 4 trillion yuan per year in the last three years. China's statistics department's virtual rent estimate based on construction costs greatly understates residents' living expenses by an average of 2.3 trillion yuan between 2004 and 2012 and an average of 3 trillion yuan over the past three years. The adjusted proportion of residential consumption in GDP has reached 11%, which is higher than the official statistics of 6%. The readjustment of the virtual rent for owner-owned housing alone has increased the resident consumption rate by 4or 5%. With the increase of residents' income, the process of urbanization has accelerated. Residential spending will also increase.
【作者单位】：韩山师范学院数学与统计学系;
【基金】：韩山师范学院青年基金项目《收益约束下的就业决策与风险补偿机制研究》(SZ201002)
【分类号】：F293.3;F126

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